StatIQNFL projections — with the receipts
← Projections

Allisha Gray

Atlanta Dream · G · WNBA — projections, accuracy, and the game log to decide for yourself.

Game log & hit rates — filter it yourself

How often Assists cleared the over 2.5 — pick a split:

8/1080% cleared overavg 3.5
09-19vs CHI3
09-17vs CON4
08-30vs MIN2
08-28vs POR3
08-25@ LA6
08-23@ PHX4
08-21@ LA2
08-19@ LV3
08-16vs IND5
08-13@ CON3

Trailing results, not a forecast — shown beside our projection, never instead of it. Game log via ESPN.

Tonight’s projections

Assists2.7 we project
Points16.5 we project
Pts+Reb+Ast24.1 we project
Rebounds3.7 we project
3-Pointers Made1.6 we project

Projection accuracy — every projection we’ve logged

Marketnavg missbiaswithinlast 10
Rebounds4±1.8
Assists3±1
Points2±3.9
3-Pointers Made2±1

Every projection logged before tip and checked against the box score — never deleted. This is accuracy, not a betting record.

Predicted vs actual — recent

DateMarketWe saidActualMiss
09-19Assists2.93−0.1
08-30Points18.923−4.1
08-22Points20.717+3.7
08-20Assists2.82+0.8
08-16Rebounds3.67−3.4
08-13Rebounds3.33+0.3
08-10Rebounds3.63+0.6
08-07Rebounds3.16−2.9
07-133-Pointers Made1.23−1.8
07-113-Pointers Made1.31+0.3

Full game log — via ESPN

DateOppResultMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOFGFG%3PT3P%FTFT%PF
09-19vs CHIW 106-812817333024-757.12-2100.07-7100.03
09-17vs CONW 103-592210640003-933.30-30.04-4100.02
08-30vs MINW 89-8135231123028-1650.06-1154.51-1100.02
08-28vs PORL 101-833511031123-1323.12-825.03-475.04
08-25@ LAW 78-713320360027-1163.62-633.34-580.03
08-23@ PHXW 99-893817541006-1346.22-825.03-3100.04
08-21@ LAW 124-882313121015-1241.71-250.02-366.70
08-19@ LVW 97-823321633016-1346.22-540.07-7100.04
08-16vs INDL 95-91 OT42327500411-2445.84-757.16-6100.05
08-13@ CONW 104-692829330028-1361.54-580.09-1090.03
08-11vs TORW 107-953315350105-862.51-333.34-4100.03
08-07@ WSHL 79-7438266211111-2347.82-922.22-366.73
08-05vs PHXW 96-822920330118-1553.33-837.51-1100.03
08-03vs LVL 109-87307120012-1020.00-60.03-475.01
07-31vs SEAW 98-893116322245-1338.51-425.05-683.33
07-30@ DALW 82-813425021018-1361.50-30.09-9100.04
07-26@ COOPW 129-1222119220007-1450.05-955.60-00.00
07-19vs CHIW 93-913529630017-1163.64-666.711-1384.63
07-17@ TORW 111-923018321008-1266.72-540.00-00.03
07-13vs LAW 101-923320122118-1553.33-650.01-250.03