StatIQNFL projections — with the receipts
← Projections

Naz Hillmon

Atlanta Dream · F · WNBA — projections, accuracy, and the game log to decide for yourself.

Game log & hit rates — filter it yourself

How often Points cleared the over 8.5 — pick a split:

4/1040% cleared overavg 8.3
09-19vs CHI2
09-17vs CON9
08-30vs MIN7
08-28vs POR10
08-25@ LA12
08-23@ PHX8
08-21@ LA14
08-19@ LV7
08-16vs IND6
08-13@ CON8

Trailing results, not a forecast — shown beside our projection, never instead of it. Game log via ESPN.

Tonight’s projections

Points9.2 we project
Pts+Reb+Ast15.2 we project
Rebounds4.4 we project
3-Pointers Made1.2 we project

Projection accuracy — every projection we’ve logged

Marketnavg missbiaswithinlast 10
Rebounds5±1.8
3-Pointers Made1±2
Points1±5.9

Every projection logged before tip and checked against the box score — never deleted. This is accuracy, not a betting record.

Predicted vs actual — recent

DateMarketWe saidActualMiss
09-173-Pointers Made1.03−2.0
08-28Rebounds3.99−5.1
08-24Rebounds3.77−3.3
08-22Rebounds3.84−0.2
08-20Points8.114−5.9
08-18Rebounds4.04−0.0
07-13Rebounds5.45+0.4

Full game log — via ESPN

DateOppResultMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOFGFG%3PT3P%FTFT%PF
09-19vs CHIW 106-81192441000-50.00-20.02-2100.01
09-17vs CONW 103-59229631003-837.53-650.00-00.01
08-30vs MINW 89-81307310043-933.31-520.00-00.00
08-28vs PORL 101-833410920023-1030.02-728.62-2100.01
08-25@ LAW 78-713412700125-862.52-366.70-00.02
08-23@ PHXW 99-89358420113-742.92-633.30-00.03
08-21@ LAW 124-882614531416-966.71-333.31-1100.02
08-19@ LVW 97-82327410133-650.01-333.30-00.01
08-16vs INDL 95-91 OT336600123-1030.00-40.00-00.02
08-13@ CONW 104-69248731113-650.02-450.00-00.04
08-11vs TORW 107-952911531025-862.51-425.00-00.02
08-07@ WSHL 79-74205410012-450.00-00.01-1100.02
08-05vs PHXW 96-822610510123-742.92-540.02-2100.05
08-03vs LVL 109-87277122023-650.01-425.00-00.01
07-31vs SEAW 98-892518231126-966.72-540.04-580.03
07-30@ DALW 82-81222310001-250.00-10.00-00.00
07-19vs CHIW 93-91345210022-633.31-520.00-00.03
07-17@ TORW 111-922524100028-8100.04-4100.04-4100.03
07-13vs LAW 101-923210520034-757.11-333.31-250.01
07-11vs PORL 102-923615821136-1154.51-520.02-366.73