StatIQNFL projections — with the receipts

Zach Ertz Projections

PHI · TE
No injury designation — board data as of Oct 2, 2:13 AM
vs LA
Sun, Oct 4, 1:00 PM ET · Week 4
Compare
REC YDSREC
27receiving yards projected vs LA
Season average 9 · Last five 44.4
Updated Oct 1
Typically within 22.4 yards of the result
Recent receiving yards
081523309CHIStatIQ projection 27
Tap a bar — or a row below — to link a number to its game.
DateOpponentREC YDS
Sep 29, 2026@ @ CHI9
Splits are what he has actually done. The projection is pinned — it does not change when you switch splits.
Dig deeper into Zach Ertz
Recent games, opponent history, third downs, injuries, comparisons, the exact plays — you decide.
How is Zach Ertz trending lately?44.4 yards per gameover the last 5 gamesExplore this question

Projection context: Zach Ertz, 27 receiving yards

StatIQ projects Zach Ertz for 27 receiving yards against LA in Week 4. It’s the model’s single-number projection — not a range or a guaranteed outcome — and the game log above is the actual history behind it, so you can judge the number yourself.

What we’re seeing, as supporting evidence rather than the reason the model landed on this number: Zach Ertz has averaged 44.4 yards over his last 5 games and 9 yards per game this season (2026). That’s the recent record to weigh the projection against — the model is not recomputed from these averages.

Across 482 completed receiving yards projections, StatIQ has landed within 22.4 yards of the actual result on average — the track record behind this number.

See Zach Ertz’s last 5 games in full
StatIQ’s Receiving Yards track record
22.4yards
average projection miss
25 within
482 completed receiving yards projections across all players
See the 2026 forward test
This matchup
Opponent
LA
Kickoff
Sun, Oct 4, 1:00 PM ET
Status
No injury designation — board data as of Oct 2, 2:13 AM
Recent form
44.4 yards over the last 5
Common questions
What is StatIQ's receiving yards projection for Zach Ertz vs LA?

StatIQ projects Zach Ertz for 27 yards receiving yards against LA in Week 4. It is the model's single-number projection — not a range or a guaranteed outcome — with the full game log on the page so you can weigh it yourself.

How has Zach Ertz performed in receiving yards recently?

Zach Ertz has averaged 44.4 yards over his last 5 games and 9 yards per game this season (2026). That is context to weigh the projection against — the model is not recomputed from these averages.

How accurate are StatIQ's receiving yards projections?

Across 482 completed receiving yards projections, StatIQ has landed within 22.4 yards of the actual result on average — the track record behind this number.

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