Dameon Pierce Projections

PHI · RB · #39

Next game vs CAR · Week 6 · Sun, Oct 18, 1:00 PM ET

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Projections & lines

Rush + Rec Yards · Week 6

vs CAR · Sun, Oct 18, 1:00 PM ET

Projection only

21.4Projection · rush + rec yards

75.5Line · consensus

−54.1Gap

Average · last 5 games 8.6

Average miss 27.7 yards · NFL rush + rec yards model · 45 graded projections · Updated Oct 16

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Measured, not bet

NFL projections are graded against the result, never bet: no NFL play is logged at a price.

Recent rush + rec yards

actual results · regular season · via ESPN

8.0Average rush + rec yards, last 6 (6 games)Over 75.5 in 0 of 6 · past results, not odds

Sep 7

Oct 5

Oct 26

Nov 9

Jan 4

Oct 11

Actual · 2026 Actual · 2025 Projection Market line Typical miss (past) · ±27.7 yards around the projection. How far past projections landed on average, not a range for this gameBars: actual games (2026 in full colour, 2025 lighter; earlier season dimmed). Dashed: our projection for the next game. Dotted: the market line, which the hit count is measured against. Shaded: typical miss (past), ±27.7 yards around the projection. How far past projections landed on average, not a range for this game.

Current through Oct 11 · ● landed over · ○ did not

Full game log

Dameon Pierce rush + rec yards by game
Date	Opponent	RUSH+REC
Oct 11	vs JAX	12
Jan 4	@ LV · 2025	10
Nov 9	vs JAX · 2025	0
Oct 26	vs SF · 2025	0
Oct 5	@ BAL · 2025	21
Sep 7	@ LAR · 2025	5

Dameon Pierce’s last 5 games on one page

This matchup

The rest of CAR vs PHI

Opponent: CAR
Kickoff: Sun, Oct 18, 1:00 PM ET
Availability: Injury reports: not on StatIQ for NFL yet
Opponent defense: CAR allowed the 8th-most scrimmage yards to RBs in 2025 135 yards/game · 8th of 32

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Rush + Rec Yards · Dameon Pierce

Rush + Rec Yards · line 75.5 · each book’s price for both sides. “Best” is the best among eligible books on that side, not a pick.

Book	Over 75.5	Under 75.5
BetMGMOct 16, 7:11 PM ET	−115	−115
FanDuelOct 16, 7:10 PM ET	−114Best	−114Best
Hard Rock BetOct 16, 7:10 PM ET	−115	−115
Hardrockbet FlOct 16, 7:09 PM ET	−115	−115
Shown, never used as our price
FliffOct 16, 7:10 PM ET	−120	−120

Eligible books quote this line and can be marked Best. Offshore, sweepstakes and pick’em rows, and any price at a different line, are shown but not eligible for Best.

Prices as of Oct 16, 7:11 PM ET.

About these books

Sweepstakes. Sweepstakes, not cash betting. This number is priced in promotional currency with playthrough and redemption limits, so it is worth less than the same number at a cash book. We never count it as a best price.

Research

Ask Explorer about Dameon Pierce

Questions to ask Explorer about Dameon Pierce, answered here:

Model accuracy

NFL rush + rec yards model · 45 graded projections

27.7 yardsaverage miss (mean absolute error)

Neither number is a range for this game.

See the 2026 NFL forward test

How this is calculated

StatIQ projects Dameon Pierce for 21.4 rush + rec yards against CAR in Week 6. One number, not a range or a promised outcome. For context, Dameon Pierce has averaged 8.6 yards over his last 5 games and 12 yards per game this season (2026); the model is not recomputed from those averages.

Projection: StatIQ’s single number for Dameon Pierce’s rush + rec yards in this game: not a range and not a pick.
Line: The market’s number for the same stat (consensus across books), shown so you can compare.
Gap: Projection minus the line (−54.1 here). A difference, never an edge.
Average miss: The average miss is the average distance between our rush + rec yards projection and the actual result, over 45 completed projections across all players this season.
Actual: Dameon Pierce’s box-score result in each regular-season game (via ESPN): the bars in the chart.

Common questions

What is StatIQ's rush + rec yards projection for Dameon Pierce vs CAR?

StatIQ projects Dameon Pierce for 21.4 yards rush + rec yards against CAR in Week 6. It is the model's single-number projection (not a range or a guaranteed outcome) with the full game log on the page so you can weigh it yourself.

How has Dameon Pierce performed in rush + rec yards recently?

Dameon Pierce has averaged 8.6 yards over his last 5 games and 12 yards per game this season (2026). That is context to weigh the projection against. The model is not recomputed from these averages.

How many rush + rec yards did Dameon Pierce have in his last game?

Dameon Pierce had 12 yards rush + rec yards in his most recent game vs JAX. The full game log on the page has the rest.

How accurate are StatIQ's rush + rec yards projections?

Across 45 completed rush + rec yards projections, StatIQ has landed within 27.7 yards of the actual result on average. That is the track record behind this number.

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