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Trevor Lawrence Projections

JAX · QB · #16
No injury designation — board data as of Oct 2, 2:13 AM
vs CIN
Sun, Oct 4, 1:00 PM ET · Week 4
Compare
PASS TDPASS YDS
1.5passing touchdowns projected vs CIN
Season average 2.3 · Last five 2
Updated Oct 1
Typically within 1 of the result
Recent passing touchdowns
012344CLE0DEN3NEStatIQ projection 1.5
Tap a bar — or a row below — to link a number to its game.
DateOpponentPASS TD
Sep 27, 2026vs vs NE3
Sep 20, 2026@ @ DEN0
Sep 13, 2026vs vs CLE4
Splits are what he has actually done. The projection is pinned — it does not change when you switch splits.
Dig deeper into Trevor Lawrence
Recent games, opponent history, third downs, injuries, comparisons, the exact plays — you decide.
How has Trevor Lawrence done against CIN?3 per game1 game vs CINExplore this question

Projection context: Trevor Lawrence, 1.5 passing touchdowns

StatIQ projects Trevor Lawrence for 1.5 passing touchdowns against CIN in Week 4. It’s the model’s single-number projection — not a range or a guaranteed outcome — and the game log above is the actual history behind it, so you can judge the number yourself.

What we’re seeing, as supporting evidence rather than the reason the model landed on this number: Trevor Lawrence has averaged 2 over his last 5 games, 2.3 per game this season (2026), and 3 across 1 game against CIN. That’s the recent record to weigh the projection against — the model is not recomputed from these averages.

Across 91 completed passing touchdowns projections, StatIQ has landed within 1 of the actual result on average — the track record behind this number.

See Trevor Lawrence’s last 5 games in full
StatIQ’s Passing Touchdowns track record
1
average projection miss
91 completed passing touchdowns projections across all players
See the 2026 forward test
This matchup
Opponent
CIN
Kickoff
Sun, Oct 4, 1:00 PM ET
Status
No injury designation — board data as of Oct 2, 2:13 AM
Recent form
2 over the last 5
Common questions
What is StatIQ's passing touchdowns projection for Trevor Lawrence vs CIN?

StatIQ projects Trevor Lawrence for 1.5 passing touchdowns against CIN in Week 4. It is the model's single-number projection — not a range or a guaranteed outcome — with the full game log on the page so you can weigh it yourself.

How has Trevor Lawrence performed in passing touchdowns recently?

Trevor Lawrence has averaged 2 over his last 5 games, 2.3 per game this season (2026), and 3 across 1 game against CIN. That is context to weigh the projection against — the model is not recomputed from these averages.

How accurate are StatIQ's passing touchdowns projections?

Across 91 completed passing touchdowns projections, StatIQ has landed within 1 of the actual result on average — the track record behind this number.

The rest of CIN vs JAX
the whole game
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