MarShawn Lloyd Projections

GB · RB · #32

Next game vs DAL · Week 6 · Sun, Oct 18, 8:20 PM ET

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Projections & lines

4 markets

REC YDS RUSH YDS RUSH+REC REC

Receiving Yards · Week 6

vs DAL · Sun, Oct 18, 8:20 PM ET

Projection only

16.0Projection · receiving yards

12.5Line · consensus

+3.5Gap

Average · last 5 games 11.0

Average miss 22.8 yards · NFL receiving-yard model · 145 graded projections · Updated Oct 16

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Measured, not bet

NFL projections are graded against the result, never bet: no NFL play is logged at a price.

Market	Projection	Line	Gap
Receiving Yards	16.0	12.5	+3.5
Rushing Yards	34.7	42.5	−7.8
Rush + Rec Yards	48.3	59.5	−11.2
Receptions	2.1	1.5	+0.6

Recent receiving yards

actual results · regular season · via ESPN

11.0Average receiving yards, last 5 (5 games)Over 12.5 in 1 of 5 · past results, not odds

Sep 13

Sep 20

Sep 24

Oct 4

Oct 11

Actual Projection Market line Typical miss (past) · ±22.8 yards around the projection. How far past projections landed on average, not a range for this gameBars: actual games. Dashed: our projection for the next game. Dotted: the market line, which the hit count is measured against. Shaded: typical miss (past), ±22.8 yards around the projection. How far past projections landed on average, not a range for this game.

Current through Oct 11 · ● landed over · ○ did not

Full game log

MarShawn Lloyd receiving yards by game
Date	Opponent	REC YDS
Oct 11	vs CHI	6
Oct 4	@ TB	36
Sep 24	vs ATL	7
Sep 20	@ NYJ	6
Sep 13	@ MIN	0

MarShawn Lloyd’s last 5 games on one page

This matchup

The rest of DAL vs GB

Opponent: DAL
Kickoff: Sun, Oct 18, 8:20 PM ET
Availability: Injury reports: not on StatIQ for NFL yet
Opponent defense: DAL allowed the 2nd-most receiving yards to RBs in 2025 43.2 yards/game · 2nd of 32

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Receiving Yards · MarShawn Lloyd

Receiving Yards · line 12.5 · each book’s price for both sides. “Best” is the best among eligible books on that side, not a pick.

Book	Over 12.5	Under 12.5
Bally BetOct 16, 7:11 AM ET	−120	–
BetMGMOct 16, 7:10 AM ET	−120	−111Best
betPARXOct 16, 7:11 AM ET	−114	−114
BetRiversOct 16, 7:11 AM ET	−115	−115
FanDuelOct 16, 7:11 AM ET	−114	−114
Hard Rock BetOct 16, 7:11 AM ET	−110Best	−120
Hardrockbet FlOct 16, 7:11 AM ET	−110Best	−120

Eligible books quote this line and can be marked Best. Offshore, sweepstakes and pick’em rows, and any price at a different line, are shown but not eligible for Best.

Prices as of Oct 16, 7:11 AM ET.

Research

Ask Explorer about MarShawn Lloyd

Questions to ask Explorer about MarShawn Lloyd, answered here:

Model accuracy

NFL receiving-yard model · 145 graded projections

22.8 yardsaverage miss (mean absolute error)

90 of 145 within 25 yards

90 of 145 landed within 25 yards (shaded) · one dot per completed projection

Neither number is a range for this game.

See the 2026 NFL forward test

How this is calculated

StatIQ projects MarShawn Lloyd for 16 receiving yards against DAL in Week 6. One number, not a range or a promised outcome. For context, MarShawn Lloyd has averaged 11 yards over his last 5 games and 11 yards per game this season (2026); the model is not recomputed from those averages.

Projection: StatIQ’s single number for MarShawn Lloyd’s receiving yards in this game: not a range and not a pick.
Line: The market’s number for the same stat (consensus across books), shown so you can compare.
Gap: Projection minus the line (+3.5 here). A difference, never an edge.
Average miss: The average miss is the average distance between our receiving yards projection and the actual result, over 145 completed projections across all players this season.
Actual: MarShawn Lloyd’s box-score result in each regular-season game (via ESPN): the bars in the chart.

Common questions

What is StatIQ's receiving yards projection for MarShawn Lloyd vs DAL?

StatIQ projects MarShawn Lloyd for 16 yards receiving yards against DAL in Week 6. It is the model's single-number projection (not a range or a guaranteed outcome) with the full game log on the page so you can weigh it yourself.

How has MarShawn Lloyd performed in receiving yards recently?

MarShawn Lloyd has averaged 11 yards over his last 5 games and 11 yards per game this season (2026). That is context to weigh the projection against. The model is not recomputed from these averages.

How many receiving yards did MarShawn Lloyd have in his last game?

MarShawn Lloyd had 6 yards receiving yards in his most recent game vs CHI. The full game log on the page has the rest.

How accurate are StatIQ's receiving yards projections?

Across 145 completed receiving yards projections, StatIQ has landed within 22.8 yards of the actual result on average. That is the track record behind this number.

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