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Justin Herbert Projections

LAC · QB · #10
No injury designation — board data as of Oct 2, 2:13 AM
vs SEA
Sun, Oct 4, 4:25 PM ET · Week 4
Compare
1.2passing touchdowns projected vs SEA
Season average 1 · Last five 1.2
Updated Oct 1
Typically within 1 of the result
Recent passing touchdowns
001111ARI1LV1BUFStatIQ projection 1.2
Tap a bar — or a row below — to link a number to its game.
DateOpponentPASS TD
Sep 27, 2026@ @ BUF1
Sep 20, 2026vs vs LV1
Sep 13, 2026vs vs ARI1
Splits are what he has actually done. The projection is pinned — it does not change when you switch splits.
Dig deeper into Justin Herbert
Recent games, opponent history, third downs, injuries, comparisons, the exact plays — you decide.
How is Justin Herbert trending lately?1.2 per gameover the last 5 gamesExplore this question

Projection context: Justin Herbert, 1.2 passing touchdowns

StatIQ projects Justin Herbert for 1.2 passing touchdowns against SEA in Week 4. It’s the model’s single-number projection — not a range or a guaranteed outcome — and the game log above is the actual history behind it, so you can judge the number yourself.

What we’re seeing, as supporting evidence rather than the reason the model landed on this number: Justin Herbert has averaged 1.2 over his last 5 games and 1 per game this season (2026). That’s the recent record to weigh the projection against — the model is not recomputed from these averages.

Across 91 completed passing touchdowns projections, StatIQ has landed within 1 of the actual result on average — the track record behind this number.

See Justin Herbert’s last 5 games in full
StatIQ’s Passing Touchdowns track record
1
average projection miss
91 completed passing touchdowns projections across all players
See the 2026 forward test
This matchup
Opponent
SEA
Kickoff
Sun, Oct 4, 4:25 PM ET
Status
No injury designation — board data as of Oct 2, 2:13 AM
Recent form
1.2 over the last 5
Common questions
What is StatIQ's passing touchdowns projection for Justin Herbert vs SEA?

StatIQ projects Justin Herbert for 1.2 passing touchdowns against SEA in Week 4. It is the model's single-number projection — not a range or a guaranteed outcome — with the full game log on the page so you can weigh it yourself.

How has Justin Herbert performed in passing touchdowns recently?

Justin Herbert has averaged 1.2 over his last 5 games and 1 per game this season (2026). That is context to weigh the projection against — the model is not recomputed from these averages.

How accurate are StatIQ's passing touchdowns projections?

Across 91 completed passing touchdowns projections, StatIQ has landed within 1 of the actual result on average — the track record behind this number.

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