StatIQNFL projections — with the receipts

Garrett Wilson Projections

NYJ · WR · #5
No injury designation — board data as of Oct 2, 2:13 AM
vs CHI
Sun, Oct 4, 1:00 PM ET · Week 4
Compare
REC YDSREC
63.8receiving yards projected vs CHI
Season average 81 · Last five 51.2
Updated Oct 1
Typically within 22.4 yards of the result
Recent receiving yards
030609012079TEN57GB107DETStatIQ projection 63.8
Tap a bar — or a row below — to link a number to its game.
DateOpponentREC YDS
Sep 27, 2026@ @ DET107
Sep 20, 2026vs vs GB57
Sep 13, 2026@ @ TEN79
Splits are what he has actually done. The projection is pinned — it does not change when you switch splits.
Dig deeper into Garrett Wilson
Recent games, opponent history, third downs, injuries, comparisons, the exact plays — you decide.
How is Garrett Wilson trending lately?51.2 yards per gameover the last 5 gamesExplore this question

Projection context: Garrett Wilson, 63.8 receiving yards

StatIQ projects Garrett Wilson for 63.8 receiving yards against CHI in Week 4. It’s the model’s single-number projection — not a range or a guaranteed outcome — and the game log above is the actual history behind it, so you can judge the number yourself.

What we’re seeing, as supporting evidence rather than the reason the model landed on this number: Garrett Wilson has averaged 51.2 yards over his last 5 games and 81 yards per game this season (2026). That’s the recent record to weigh the projection against — the model is not recomputed from these averages.

Across 482 completed receiving yards projections, StatIQ has landed within 22.4 yards of the actual result on average — the track record behind this number.

See Garrett Wilson’s last 5 games in full
StatIQ’s Receiving Yards track record
22.4yards
average projection miss
25 within
482 completed receiving yards projections across all players
See the 2026 forward test
This matchup
Opponent
CHI
Kickoff
Sun, Oct 4, 1:00 PM ET
Status
No injury designation — board data as of Oct 2, 2:13 AM
Recent form
51.2 yards over the last 5
Common questions
What is StatIQ's receiving yards projection for Garrett Wilson vs CHI?

StatIQ projects Garrett Wilson for 63.8 yards receiving yards against CHI in Week 4. It is the model's single-number projection — not a range or a guaranteed outcome — with the full game log on the page so you can weigh it yourself.

How has Garrett Wilson performed in receiving yards recently?

Garrett Wilson has averaged 51.2 yards over his last 5 games and 81 yards per game this season (2026). That is context to weigh the projection against — the model is not recomputed from these averages.

How accurate are StatIQ's receiving yards projections?

Across 482 completed receiving yards projections, StatIQ has landed within 22.4 yards of the actual result on average — the track record behind this number.

The rest of CHI vs NYJ
the whole game
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