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Bhayshul Tuten Projections

JAX · RB · #33

Next game Opponent: HOU · neutral site · Week 6 · Sun, Oct 18, 9:30 AM ET

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Projections & lines

Receiving Yards · Week 6

Opponent: HOU · neutral site · Sun, Oct 18, 9:30 AM ET

Projection only
14.1Projection · receiving yards
8.5Line · consensus
+5.6Gap

Average · last 5 games 15.6

Average miss 22.8 yards · NFL receiving-yard model · 145 graded projections · Updated Oct 16

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Measured, not bet

NFL projections are graded against the result, never bet: no NFL play is logged at a price.

MarketProjectionLineGap
Receiving Yards14.18.5+5.5
Rushing Yards54.663.5−8.9
Rush + Rec Yards65.676.5−10.9
Receptions1.71.5+0.2

Recent receiving yards

9.6Average receiving yards, last 10 (10 games)Over 8.5 in 5 of 10 · past results, not odds

Actual · 2026 Actual · 2025 Projection Market line Typical miss (past) · ±22.8 yards around the projection. How far past projections landed on average, not a range for this gameBars: actual games (2026 in full colour, 2025 lighter; earlier season dimmed). Dashed: our projection for the next game. Dotted: the market line, which the hit count is measured against. Shaded: typical miss (past), ±22.8 yards around the projection. How far past projections landed on average, not a range for this game.

Current through Oct 11 · ● landed over · ○ did not

Full game log
Bhayshul Tuten receiving yards by game
DateOpponentREC YDS
Oct 11vs PHI24
Oct 4@ CIN18
Sep 27vs NE17
Sep 20@ DEN-3
Sep 13vs CLE22
Jan 4vs TEN · 20250
Dec 14vs NYJ · 202516
Dec 7vs IND · 20250
Nov 30@ TEN · 20252
Nov 23@ ARI · 20250

Bhayshul Tuten’s last 5 games on one page

Opponent
HOU · neutral site
Kickoff
Sun, Oct 18, 9:30 AM ET
Availability
Injury reports: not on StatIQ for NFL yet
Opponent defense
HOU allowed the 14th-most receiving yards to RBs in 2025 31.6 yards/game · 14th of 32
Against HOU
2.5 yards a game 2 previous meetings · small sample

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Receiving Yards · line 8.5 · each book’s price for both sides. “Best” is the best among eligible books on that side, not a pick.

BookOver 8.5Under 8.5
DraftKingsOct 16, 7:11 AM ET−114Best−110Best
Shown, never used as our price
FliffOct 16, 7:10 AM ET−120−120

Eligible books quote this line and can be marked Best. Offshore, sweepstakes and pick’em rows, and any price at a different line, are shown but not eligible for Best.

Prices as of Oct 16, 7:11 AM ET.

About these books

Sweepstakes. Sweepstakes, not cash betting. This number is priced in promotional currency with playthrough and redemption limits, so it is worth less than the same number at a cash book. We never count it as a best price.

Research

Questions to ask Explorer about Bhayshul Tuten, answered here:

Model accuracy

NFL receiving-yard model · 145 graded projections

22.8 yardsaverage miss (mean absolute error)

90 of 145 within 25 yards

0 yards25100 yards
90 of 145 landed within 25 yards (shaded) · one dot per completed projection

Neither number is a range for this game.

See the 2026 NFL forward test

How this is calculated

StatIQ projects Bhayshul Tuten for 14.1 receiving yards against HOU in Week 6. One number, not a range or a promised outcome. For context, Bhayshul Tuten has averaged 15.6 yards over his last 5 games, 15.6 yards per game this season (2026), and 2.5 yards across 2 games against HOU; the model is not recomputed from those averages.

Projection
StatIQ’s single number for Bhayshul Tuten’s receiving yards in this game: not a range and not a pick.
Line
The market’s number for the same stat (consensus across books), shown so you can compare.
Gap
Projection minus the line (+5.5 here). A difference, never an edge.
Average miss
The average miss is the average distance between our receiving yards projection and the actual result, over 145 completed projections across all players this season.
Actual
Bhayshul Tuten’s box-score result in each regular-season game (via ESPN): the bars in the chart.

Common questions

What is StatIQ's receiving yards projection for Bhayshul Tuten vs HOU?

StatIQ projects Bhayshul Tuten for 14.1 yards receiving yards against HOU in Week 6. It is the model's single-number projection (not a range or a guaranteed outcome) with the full game log on the page so you can weigh it yourself.

How has Bhayshul Tuten performed in receiving yards recently?

Bhayshul Tuten has averaged 15.6 yards over his last 5 games, 15.6 yards per game this season (2026), and 2.5 yards across 2 games against HOU. That is context to weigh the projection against. The model is not recomputed from these averages.

How many receiving yards did Bhayshul Tuten have in his last game?

Bhayshul Tuten had 24 yards receiving yards in his most recent game vs PHI. The full game log on the page has the rest.

How accurate are StatIQ's receiving yards projections?

Across 145 completed receiving yards projections, StatIQ has landed within 22.8 yards of the actual result on average. That is the track record behind this number.

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