Average · last 5 games 15.6
Average miss 22.8 yards · NFL receiving-yard model · 145 graded projections · Updated Oct 16
JAX · RB · #33
Next game Opponent: HOU · neutral site · Week 6 · Sun, Oct 18, 9:30 AM ET
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Average · last 5 games 15.6
Average miss 22.8 yards · NFL receiving-yard model · 145 graded projections · Updated Oct 16
Measured, not bet
NFL projections are graded against the result, never bet: no NFL play is logged at a price.
| Market | Projection | Line | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Receiving Yards | 14.1 | 8.5 | +5.5 |
| Rushing Yards | 54.6 | 63.5 | −8.9 |
| Rush + Rec Yards | 65.6 | 76.5 | −10.9 |
| Receptions | 1.7 | 1.5 | +0.2 |
9.6Average receiving yards, last 10 (10 games)Over 8.5 in 5 of 10 · past results, not odds
Current through Oct 11 · ● landed over · ○ did not
| Date | Opponent | REC YDS |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 11 | vs PHI | 24 |
| Oct 4 | @ CIN | 18 |
| Sep 27 | vs NE | 17 |
| Sep 20 | @ DEN | -3 |
| Sep 13 | vs CLE | 22 |
| Jan 4 | vs TEN · 2025 | 0 |
| Dec 14 | vs NYJ · 2025 | 16 |
| Dec 7 | vs IND · 2025 | 0 |
| Nov 30 | @ TEN · 2025 | 2 |
| Nov 23 | @ ARI · 2025 | 0 |
Receiving Yards · line 8.5 · each book’s price for both sides. “Best” is the best among eligible books on that side, not a pick.
| Book | Over 8.5 | Under 8.5 |
|---|---|---|
| DraftKingsOct 16, 7:11 AM ET | −114Best | −110Best |
| Shown, never used as our price | ||
| FliffOct 16, 7:10 AM ET | −120 | −120 |
Eligible books quote this line and can be marked Best. Offshore, sweepstakes and pick’em rows, and any price at a different line, are shown but not eligible for Best.
Prices as of Oct 16, 7:11 AM ET.
Sweepstakes. Sweepstakes, not cash betting. This number is priced in promotional currency with playthrough and redemption limits, so it is worth less than the same number at a cash book. We never count it as a best price.
Questions to ask Explorer about Bhayshul Tuten, answered here:
22.8 yardsaverage miss (mean absolute error)
90 of 145 within 25 yards
Neither number is a range for this game.
StatIQ projects Bhayshul Tuten for 14.1 receiving yards against HOU in Week 6. One number, not a range or a promised outcome. For context, Bhayshul Tuten has averaged 15.6 yards over his last 5 games, 15.6 yards per game this season (2026), and 2.5 yards across 2 games against HOU; the model is not recomputed from those averages.
StatIQ projects Bhayshul Tuten for 14.1 yards receiving yards against HOU in Week 6. It is the model's single-number projection (not a range or a guaranteed outcome) with the full game log on the page so you can weigh it yourself.
Bhayshul Tuten has averaged 15.6 yards over his last 5 games, 15.6 yards per game this season (2026), and 2.5 yards across 2 games against HOU. That is context to weigh the projection against. The model is not recomputed from these averages.
Bhayshul Tuten had 24 yards receiving yards in his most recent game vs PHI. The full game log on the page has the rest.
Across 145 completed receiving yards projections, StatIQ has landed within 22.8 yards of the actual result on average. That is the track record behind this number.