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Pete Alonso

Baltimore Orioles · 1B · MLB — projections, accuracy, and the game log to decide for yourself.

Game log & hit rates — filter it yourself

How often Hits cleared the over 0.5 — pick a split:

7/1070% cleared overavg 1
09-19vs MIL0
09-18vs MIL1
09-16@ NYM1
09-15@ NYM1
09-14@ NYM0
09-13@ TOR3
09-12@ TOR1
09-11@ TOR0
09-09vs CLE1
09-08vs CLE2

Trailing results, not a forecast — shown beside our projection, never instead of it. Game log via ESPN.

Tonight’s projections

Hits0.9 we project
Home Runs0.3 we project
RBIs0.8 we project
Total Bases2.0 we project

Projection accuracy — every projection we’ve logged

Marketnavg missbiaswithinlast 10
Hits8±1
Total Bases3±1.8

Every projection logged before tip and checked against the box score — never deleted. This is accuracy, not a betting record.

Predicted vs actual — recent

DateMarketWe saidActualMiss
09-15Total Bases1.64−2.4
09-14Hits0.90+0.9
09-07Hits0.90+0.9
08-27Hits1.50+1.5
08-20Hits1.32−0.7
08-16Hits1.21+0.2
08-15Hits1.13−1.9
08-07Hits1.00+1.0
07-31Hits1.02−1.0
07-22Total Bases1.53−1.5

Full game log — via ESPN

DateOppResultABRH2B3BHRRBIBBHBPSOSBCSAVGOBPSLGOPS
09-19vs MILL 1-0300000001100.266.361.503.864
09-18vs MILL 6-5 F/10411001310200.267.361.506.867
09-16@ NYMW 7-1411001100100.267.361.503.864
09-15@ NYMW 7-5 F/11511001100200.267.362.499.861
09-14@ NYMW 2-1300000010100.268.363.496.859
09-13@ TORL 8-1503000100100.269.363.499.863
09-12@ TORL 7-3311001220000.266.362.498.860
09-11@ TORW 7-4500000000200.266.360.494.853
09-09vs CLEW 9-5311000020200.268.363.498.861
09-08vs CLEL 9-5412001200000.268.361.499.860
09-07vs CLEW 6-4200000121000.266.360.494.853
09-06vs BOSL 3-1402000000200.267.358.495.853
09-05vs BOSL 5-0300000010100.265.357.495.852
09-04vs BOSL 1-0400000000100.267.358.498.856
09-03vs BOSL 6-5311001200100.269.360.502.862
09-02@ COLL 6-5 F/11411000110000.269.361.497.858
09-02@ COLL 4-2301000010100.269.360.499.860
09-01@ COLW 2-1300000010100.268.360.500.860
08-30@ ATHW 8-5221000011000.270.360.503.863
08-30@ ATHW 5-3500000000300.269.358.503.861