StatIQNFL projections — with the receipts
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Parker Messick

Cleveland Guardians · SP · MLB — projections, accuracy, and the game log to decide for yourself.

Game log & hit rates — filter it yourself

How often Outs Recorded cleared the over 17.5 — pick a split:

7/1070% cleared overavg 18.2
09-16vs CHW18
09-12@ MIN16
09-05vs DET18
08-30vs KC18
08-25@ LAA18
08-19vs SF20
08-13@ DET17
08-07@ CHW21
08-01vs ARI13
07-26@ TB23

Trailing results, not a forecast — shown beside our projection, never instead of it. Game log via ESPN.

Tonight’s projections

Outs Recorded17.7 we project
Strikeouts6.6 we project

Projection accuracy — every projection we’ve logged

No graded projections yet.

Every projection logged before tip and checked against the box score — never deleted. This is accuracy, not a betting record.

Full game log — via ESPN

DateOppResultIPHRERHRBBKGBFBPTBFGSCDecRelERA
09-16vs CHWW 6-36.0733108107862654.0W(12-9)-2.57
09-12@ MINW 5-25.1311025410952261.0--2.51
09-05vs DETL 6-06.07332212481032656.0L(11-9)-2.53
08-30vs KCW 11-16.05110256121052561.0W(11-8)-2.46
08-25@ LAAW 4-26.031101497942165.0W(10-8)-2.50
08-19vs SFL 1-06.2611001079982668.0L(9-8)-2.54
08-13@ DETL 3-05.2322126861022359.0L(9-7)-2.59
08-07@ CHWW 8-27.042221867972668.0W(9-6)-2.57
08-01vs ARIL 12-84.162101676912050.0--2.57
07-26@ TBL 1-07.26110061013942969.0L(8-6)-2.59
07-21vs MINW 5-25.242110679882261.0--2.68
07-15vs NLW 4-01.0000001111030.0-HLD(1)0.00
07-10@ MIAW 3-26.0111141107912263.0W(8-5)-2.73
07-04vs CHWL 3-15.05110335121002353.0--2.80
06-29vs TEXL 6-36.28440051211832847.0L(7-5)-2.85
06-23@ CHWL 2-17.23221110106952774.0L(7-4)-2.67
06-18@ MILW 4-26.042203976962562.0W(7-3)-2.70
06-10vs NYYL 8-45.2554034991002542.0L(6-3)-2.68
06-06@ TEXL 3-25.2533214513852350.0L(6-2)-2.40
05-30vs BOSL 9-15.0511024511932255.0--2.21