StatIQNFL projections — with the receipts
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Patrick Bailey

Cleveland Guardians · C · MLB — projections, accuracy, and the game log to decide for yourself.

Projection accuracy — every projection we’ve logged

Marketnavg missbiaswithinlast 10
Hits4±0.7
Total Bases1±5.3

Every projection logged before tip and checked against the box score — never deleted. This is accuracy, not a betting record.

Predicted vs actual — recent

DateMarketWe saidActualMiss
09-08Hits0.72−1.3
08-25Hits0.60+0.6
08-21Total Bases0.76−5.3
08-18Hits0.40+0.4
08-11Hits0.60+0.6

Full game log — via ESPN

DateOppResultABRH2B3BHRRBIBBHBPSOSBCSAVGOBPSLGOPS
09-20vs ATHW 1-0300000000300.205.271.320.591
09-18vs ATHW 5-3411000000300.207.274.323.597
09-15vs CHWW 7-6300000010000.207.274.324.598
09-14vs CHWL 7-3411000000200.209.274.328.602
09-13@ MINW 9-2501000000200.208.275.329.603
09-09@ BALL 9-5301100101100.209.276.331.607
09-08@ BALW 9-5402000100100.207.273.327.600
09-07@ BALL 6-4100000000000.203.270.325.595
09-06vs DETW 3-2 F/10401000000100.204.271.326.597
09-04vs DETW 4-3 F/10100000000100.203.271.327.598
09-04vs DETW 7-6310000010100.204.272.328.600
09-02vs TORL 11-0302000000100.206.272.332.604
09-01vs TORW 6-1311001200000.201.268.328.596
08-28vs KCL 3-0302000000000.199.268.316.584
08-26@ LAAW 4-3000000000000.194.263.312.576
08-26@ LAAW 8-6 F/10110000040100.194.263.312.576
08-23@ COLW 4-3301000110100.194.254.313.567
08-22@ COLW 9-1512101300100.193.250.313.563
08-20vs SFW 5-2312000110110.189.247.295.542
08-19vs SFL 1-0100000000100.183.240.290.530