StatIQNFL projections — with the receipts
← Projections

Steven Kwan

Cleveland Guardians · LF · MLB — projections, accuracy, and the game log to decide for yourself.

Game log & hit rates — filter it yourself

How often Hits cleared the over 0.5 — pick a split:

8/1080% cleared overavg 1.4
09-20vs ATH3
09-19vs ATH2
09-18vs ATH0
09-16vs CHW0
09-15vs CHW1
09-14vs CHW1
09-13@ MIN3
09-12@ MIN1
09-12@ MIN1
09-09@ BAL2

Trailing results, not a forecast — shown beside our projection, never instead of it. Game log via ESPN.

Tonight’s projections

Hits1.2 we project
Home Runs0.1 we project
RBIs0.2 we project
Total Bases1.6 we project

Projection accuracy — every projection we’ve logged

Marketnavg missbiaswithinlast 10
Hits10±0.9
Total Bases3±1

Every projection logged before tip and checked against the box score — never deleted. This is accuracy, not a betting record.

Predicted vs actual — recent

DateMarketWe saidActualMiss
08-28Hits1.20+1.2
08-24Hits1.12−0.9
08-23Hits1.02−1.0
08-22Total Bases1.30+1.3
08-16Hits1.30+1.3
08-14Hits1.31+0.3
08-11Hits1.42−0.6
08-05Hits1.31+0.3
08-02Hits1.41+0.4
08-01Hits1.33−1.7

Full game log — via ESPN

DateOppResultABRH2B3BHRRBIBBHBPSOSBCSAVGOBPSLGOPS
09-20vs ATHW 1-0403000000000.280.378.345.724
09-19vs ATHW 12-6512000100000.277.376.342.718
09-18vs ATHW 5-3300000020100.275.376.342.717
09-16vs CHWW 6-3310000010000.277.375.344.719
09-15vs CHWW 7-6311000010000.279.376.346.722
09-14vs CHWL 7-3301000010000.278.375.346.721
09-13@ MINW 9-2423101210000.278.375.346.721
09-12@ MINL 4-3401000100100.274.371.335.706
09-12@ MINW 5-2401000010110.274.372.335.707
09-09@ BALL 9-5512000000100.275.371.336.708
09-08@ BALW 9-5521100000000.273.371.335.707
09-07@ BALL 6-4402000000000.274.373.335.707
09-06vs DETW 3-2 F/10412200000100.272.372.333.705
09-05vs DETL 6-0400000000000.270.371.328.699
09-04vs DETW 4-3 F/10311000020000.273.374.330.704
09-04vs DETW 7-6400000000200.272.372.330.702
09-03vs TORL 6-3502000000000.275.374.333.708
09-02vs TORL 11-0300000000000.273.374.333.707
09-01vs TORW 6-1401000000000.275.376.335.711
08-30vs KCW 11-1332100010000.275.377.336.713