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Nolan Arenado

Arizona Diamondbacks · 3B · MLB — projections, accuracy, and the game log to decide for yourself.

Game log & hit rates — filter it yourself

How often Hits cleared the over 0.5 — pick a split:

8/1080% cleared overavg 1.4
09-20vs NYY2
09-19vs NYY2
09-17vs MIA2
09-16vs MIA1
09-15vs MIA1
09-13vs TEX2
09-13vs TEX0
09-12vs TEX2
09-09@ KC2
09-08@ KC0

Trailing results, not a forecast — shown beside our projection, never instead of it. Game log via ESPN.

Tonight’s projections

Hits1.1 we project
Home Runs0.3 we project
RBIs0.6 we project
Total Bases2.0 we project

Projection accuracy — every projection we’ve logged

Marketnavg missbiaswithinlast 10
Total Bases4±2.1
Hits3±1.1

Every projection logged before tip and checked against the box score — never deleted. This is accuracy, not a betting record.

Predicted vs actual — recent

DateMarketWe saidActualMiss
09-19Hits1.02−1.0
09-09Hits0.72−1.3
08-24Hits0.80+0.8
07-28Total Bases1.64−2.4
07-26Total Bases1.70+1.7
07-24Total Bases1.90+1.9
07-19Total Bases1.74−2.3

Full game log — via ESPN

DateOppResultABRH2B3BHRRBIBBHBPSOSBCSAVGOBPSLGOPS
09-20vs NYYW 5-3412000000100.247.323.451.773
09-19vs NYYL 9-2402000000000.245.321.450.772
09-17vs MIAL 4-3412001100000.243.320.450.770
09-16vs MIAL 4-2 F/11301000000000.241.319.443.762
09-15vs MIAW 8-7401000000300.240.319.444.763
09-13vs TEXL 7-6422101300000.240.319.446.765
09-13vs TEXL 6-2200000011200.238.318.437.755
09-12vs TEXW 9-1312101110000.239.317.439.755
09-09@ KCL 5-2312001110000.236.313.429.742
09-08@ KCW 5-3 F/11300000020000.234.310.421.731
09-07@ KCW 5-4 F/10402000110100.235.309.424.733
09-06@ HOUW 3-2411001200100.233.307.423.730
09-05@ HOUW 4-3 F/10401000000100.233.307.418.725
09-05@ HOUL 3-1300000010100.233.307.420.727
09-02vs PHIW 1-0300000000000.234.308.422.730
09-02vs PHIL 7-1400000000100.236.310.425.735
09-01vs PHIL 2-1401000000100.238.312.429.741
08-30@ SFL 7-2400000000000.238.313.430.743
08-29@ SFW 7-1411000000000.240.315.434.750
08-29@ SFW 10-6512100000100.240.316.436.752