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Kevin McGonigle

Detroit Tigers · SS · MLB — projections, accuracy, and the game log to decide for yourself.

Game log & hit rates — filter it yourself

How often Hits cleared the over 0.5 — pick a split:

8/1080% cleared overavg 1.3
09-19@ CHW1
09-18@ CHW2
09-17@ CHW2
09-16@ TOR2
09-15@ TOR0
09-14@ TOR2
09-13vs COL1
09-12vs COL2
09-11vs COL0
09-09vs MIN1

Trailing results, not a forecast — shown beside our projection, never instead of it. Game log via ESPN.

Tonight’s projections

Hits1.1 we project
Home Runs0.2 we project
RBIs0.7 we project
Total Bases2.0 we project

Projection accuracy — every projection we’ve logged

Marketnavg missbiaswithinlast 10
Hits3±1.1
Total Bases1±1.5

Every projection logged before tip and checked against the box score — never deleted. This is accuracy, not a betting record.

Predicted vs actual — recent

DateMarketWe saidActualMiss
09-11Total Bases1.40+1.4
09-09Hits0.91−0.1
08-14Hits1.21+0.2
07-28Hits1.04−3.0

Full game log — via ESPN

DateOppResultABRH2B3BHRRBIBBHBPSOSBCSAVGOBPSLGOPS
09-19@ CHWL 3-1401000100000.276.377.427.804
09-18@ CHWW 11-8512010410000.277.378.428.806
09-17@ CHWL 3-1402000010100.275.377.425.802
09-16@ TORL 5-1502000000101.274.376.424.800
09-15@ TORW 10-1110000030000.273.375.424.800
09-14@ TORW 6-5512000000000.273.373.425.798
09-13vs COLW 8-1311010210000.272.373.425.798
09-12vs COLW 11-7512001110100.272.372.422.794
09-11vs COLW 6-2400000000100.271.371.417.788
09-09vs MINW 7-2411100010200.273.373.420.793
09-08vs MINL 3-2412001200000.273.373.419.792
09-07vs MINW 5-4411001100000.271.372.413.785
09-06@ CLEL 3-2 F/10200000020101.271.373.409.782
09-04@ CLEL 4-3 F/10502100100000.272.372.410.782
09-04@ CLEL 7-6411000010100.271.372.408.780
09-02@ MINW 11-6 F/12610000010100.271.372.410.781
09-01@ MINL 15-2311000000000.274.374.414.789
08-31@ MINL 11-1400000000000.274.375.415.789
08-30vs LADL 6-1401000100001.276.377.418.795
08-29vs LADW 2-1301000120100.276.378.419.797