Jonathan Aranda
Tampa Bay Rays · 1B · MLB — projections, accuracy, and the game log to decide for yourself.
Game log & hit rates — filter it yourself
How often Hits cleared the over 0.5 — pick a split:
8/1080% cleared overavg 0.9
09-19vs BOS1✓
09-18vs BOS1✓
09-17vs ATH1✓
09-15vs ATH1✓
09-13vs HOU2✓
09-12vs HOU1✓
09-11vs HOU1✓
09-10@ ATL0✗
09-09@ ATL0✗
09-08@ ATL1✓
Trailing results, not a forecast — shown beside our projection, never instead of it. Game log via ESPN.
Tonight’s projections
Hits1.1 we project
Home Runs0.3 we project
RBIs0.8 we project
Total Bases2.1 we project
Projection accuracy — every projection we’ve logged
Marketnavg missbiaswithinlast 10
Hits8———±0.5
Total Bases4———±1.4
Every projection logged before tip and checked against the box score — never deleted. This is accuracy, not a betting record.
Predicted vs actual — recent
DateMarketWe saidActualMiss
09-19Total Bases1.94−2.1
09-11Hits1.00+1.0
09-03Total Bases1.40+1.4
08-21Hits1.10+1.1
08-20Hits1.21+0.2
08-18Hits1.21+0.2
08-14Hits1.21+0.2
08-04Hits1.01+0.0
08-02Total Bases1.21+0.2
07-30Hits1.11+0.1
Full game log — via ESPN
| Date | Opp | Result | AB | R | H | 2B | 3B | HR | RBI | BB | HBP | SO | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-19 | vs BOS | W 2-1 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | .277 | .360 | .440 | .800 |
| 09-18 | vs BOS | L 4-2 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .277 | .360 | .436 | .797 |
| 09-17 | vs ATH | W 10-1 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | .278 | .362 | .437 | .798 |
| 09-15 | vs ATH | W 2-1 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | .278 | .361 | .436 | .798 |
| 09-13 | vs HOU | W 14-4 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | .278 | .362 | .438 | .800 |
| 09-12 | vs HOU | W 3-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .277 | .360 | .426 | .786 |
| 09-11 | vs HOU | W 3-1 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | .276 | .359 | .427 | .786 |
| 09-10 | @ ATL | L 3-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .277 | .360 | .426 | .786 |
| 09-09 | @ ATL | W 7-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | .277 | .360 | .427 | .787 |
| 09-08 | @ ATL | W 7-1 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | .279 | .362 | .430 | .792 |
| 09-06 | @ TEX | L 8-6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .279 | .361 | .432 | .793 |
| 09-05 | @ TEX | W 6-3 F/10 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | .278 | .361 | .429 | .790 |
| 09-05 | @ TEX | W 7-6 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | .277 | .361 | .424 | .784 |
| 09-04 | @ TEX | L 6-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | .275 | .359 | .415 | .774 |
| 09-02 | vs NYM | L 10-4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | .276 | .359 | .418 | .777 |
| 08-31 | vs NYM | L 3-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .277 | .360 | .419 | .779 |
| 08-30 | vs SD | W 5-4 F/11 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | .278 | .361 | .421 | .782 |
| 08-29 | vs SD | W 7-6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .279 | .362 | .424 | .786 |
| 08-28 | vs SD | W 9-4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | .279 | .363 | .419 | .782 |
| 08-26 | @ DET | W 3-0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .280 | .363 | .420 | .783 |