StatIQPregame to final — all in one place
← Projections

Jackson Merrill

San Diego Padres · CF · MLB — projections, accuracy, and the game log to decide for yourself.

Game log & hit rates — filter it yourself

How often Hits cleared the over 0.5 — pick a split:

10/10100% cleared overavg 2
09-20vs MIA1
09-19vs MIA1
09-17@ COL1
09-17@ COL3
09-16@ COL2
09-15@ COL3
09-13@ SF1
09-12@ SF1
09-12@ SF3
09-09vs WSH4

Trailing results, not a forecast — shown beside our projection, never instead of it. Game log via ESPN.

Tonight’s projections

Hits1.3 we project
Home Runs0.2 we project
RBIs0.9 we project
Total Bases2.4 we project

Projection accuracy — every projection we’ve logged

Marketnavg missbiaswithinlast 10
Hits9±1.3
Total Bases3±1.9

Every projection logged before tip and checked against the box score — never deleted. This is accuracy, not a betting record.

Predicted vs actual — recent

DateMarketWe saidActualMiss
09-19Hits1.31+0.3
09-18Hits1.30+1.3
09-17Total Bases2.33−0.8
09-07Hits0.83−2.1
08-12Hits1.21+0.2
08-11Hits1.22−0.8
08-10Hits1.31+0.3
08-04Hits1.33−1.8
07-26Total Bases1.85−3.2
07-25Hits1.03−2.0

Full game log — via ESPN

DateOppResultABRH2B3BHRRBIBBHBPSOSBCSAVGOBPSLGOPS
09-20vs MIAW 7-6 F/10401000010300.255.305.447.751
09-19vs MIAW 8-2411001100200.256.304.448.752
09-17@ COLW 9-2411010200100.256.304.444.748
09-17@ COLW 9-3513000000200.256.304.442.747
09-16@ COLL 9-3402000000001.253.302.441.743
09-15@ COLW 8-7513000100100.251.301.440.741
09-13@ SFW 6-4401100200100.248.298.439.737
09-12@ SFW 7-6411001110100.248.299.439.737
09-12@ SFW 7-5523100000010.248.298.434.732
09-09vs WSHW 9-2524012600000.245.295.431.726
09-09vs WSHW 5-4300000100100.239.291.413.704
09-07vs WSHW 3-2403100200010.241.293.415.708
09-06vs NYYW 4-3300000000000.237.290.411.701
09-05vs NYYL 5-1300000010100.238.291.413.705
09-05vs NYYW 3-2 F/10300000000000.240.292.416.707
09-02@ CINL 7-3400000000000.241.293.418.711
09-01@ CINL 4-3402100000100.243.295.421.717
08-31@ CINW 5-0412000101200.241.294.419.713
08-30@ TBL 5-4 F/11511000000200.239.291.418.709
08-29@ TBL 7-6400000010000.239.292.420.712