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Fernando Tatis Jr.

San Diego Padres · RF · MLB — projections, accuracy, and the game log to decide for yourself.

Game log & hit rates — filter it yourself

How often Hits cleared the under 1.5 — pick a split:

7/1070% cleared underavg 1.4
09-20vs MIA1
09-19vs MIA1
09-17@ COL1
09-17@ COL0
09-16@ COL1
09-15@ COL1
09-13@ SF3
09-12@ SF2
09-12@ SF1
09-09vs WSH3

Trailing results, not a forecast — shown beside our projection, never instead of it. Game log via ESPN.

Tonight’s projections

Hits1.2 we project
Home Runs0.3 we project
RBIs0.6 we project
Total Bases2.2 we project

Projection accuracy — every projection we’ve logged

Marketnavg missbiaswithinlast 10
Hits7±0.8
Total Bases3±2.2

Every projection logged before tip and checked against the box score — never deleted. This is accuracy, not a betting record.

Predicted vs actual — recent

DateMarketWe saidActualMiss
09-16Total Bases2.40+2.4
09-15Hits1.31+0.3
09-12Total Bases1.95−3.1
08-25Hits1.21+0.2
08-10Hits1.10+1.1
07-30Hits1.21+0.2
07-26Hits1.10+1.1
07-22Total Bases1.93−1.1
07-19Hits1.12−0.9
07-17Hits1.03−2.0

Full game log — via ESPN

DateOppResultABRH2B3BHRRBIBBHBPSOSBCSAVGOBPSLGOPS
09-20vs MIAW 7-6 F/10411001101110.285.355.464.820
09-19vs MIAW 8-2411000110200.285.355.461.816
09-17@ COLW 9-2411100010100.286.355.462.817
09-17@ COLW 9-3410000001100.286.354.462.816
09-16@ COLL 9-3511001100100.288.356.465.821
09-15@ COLW 8-7511001200100.289.357.462.819
09-13@ SFW 6-4423000200110.289.358.459.817
09-12@ SFW 7-6312001130020.286.356.457.813
09-12@ SFW 7-5401010010200.284.351.451.802
09-09vs WSHW 9-2513000100000.284.351.449.799
09-09vs WSHW 5-4310000010100.282.349.447.796
09-07vs WSHW 3-2413000000110.283.349.450.799
09-06vs NYYW 4-3411001100000.280.347.448.794
09-05vs NYYL 5-1300000010000.280.347.444.791
09-05vs NYYW 3-2 F/10400000000000.282.348.446.794
09-02@ CINL 7-3412000100200.284.350.449.800
09-01@ CINL 4-3522002200100.282.349.449.798
08-31@ CINW 5-0511100000000.281.349.438.787
08-30@ TBL 5-4 F/11400000000000.282.350.439.789
08-29@ TBL 7-6511000000310.284.353.442.794