Connelly Early Prop Projections
Washington Nationals · SP · MLB — projections, accuracy, and the game log to decide for yourself.
Projection accuracy — every projection we’ve logged
No graded projections yet.
Every projection logged before tip and checked against the box score — never deleted. This is accuracy, not a betting record.
Full game log — via ESPN
| Date | Opp | Result | IP | H | R | ER | HR | BB | K | GB | FB | P | TBF | GSC | Dec | Rel | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-26 | vs NYM | L 7-1 | 3.0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 34 | 10 | 58.0 | - | - | 3.33 |
| 06-30 | vs WSH | L 8-1 | 4.0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 61 | 15 | 59.0 | - | - | 3.44 |
| 06-25 | vs NYY | W 6-3 | 6.0 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 8 | 6 | 98 | 24 | 62.0 | W(7-5) | - | 3.59 |
| 06-21 | @ SEA | W 5-1 | 6.0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 98 | 24 | 69.0 | W(6-5) | - | 3.64 |
| 06-14 | vs TEX | L 6-4 | 4.2 | 11 | 6 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 10 | 91 | 27 | 19.0 | L(5-5) | - | 3.81 |
| 06-08 | @ TB | L 3-1 | 4.2 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 96 | 23 | 48.0 | L(5-4) | - | 3.30 |
| 06-02 | vs BAL | L 4-2 | 5.1 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 11 | 96 | 23 | 45.0 | L(5-3) | - | 3.26 |
| 05-27 | vs ATL | W 8-0 | 7.0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 7 | 11 | 97 | 28 | 73.0 | W(5-2) | - | 2.95 |
| 05-20 | @ KC | W 4-3 | 6.1 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 14 | 93 | 27 | 53.0 | W(4-2) | - | 3.33 |
| 05-15 | @ ATL | L 3-2 F/10 | 5.0 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 86 | 22 | 55.0 | - | - | 3.21 |
| 05-08 | vs TB | W 2-0 | 7.0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 7 | 9 | 96 | 26 | 76.0 | W(3-2) | - | 3.16 |
| 05-02 | vs HOU | L 6-3 | 4.0 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 11 | 77 | 20 | 30.0 | L(2-2) | - | 3.79 |
| 04-26 | @ BAL | W 5-3 | 6.2 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 12 | 92 | 24 | 61.0 | W(2-1) | - | 2.84 |
| 04-21 | vs NYY | L 4-0 | 5.1 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 11 | 4 | 92 | 23 | 47.0 | L(1-1) | - | 2.88 |
| 04-15 | @ MIN | W 9-5 | 6.0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 11 | 85 | 23 | 67.0 | W(1-0) | - | 2.29 |
| 04-11 | @ STL | L 3-2 | 4.1 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 8 | 86 | 21 | 52.0 | - | - | 2.63 |
| 04-04 | vs SD | L 3-2 | 4.0 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 88 | 19 | 48.0 | - | - | 2.89 |
| 03-29 | @ CIN | L 3-2 | 5.1 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 7 | 96 | 21 | 58.0 | - | - | 1.69 |