StatIQNFL projections — with the receipts
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Dylan Crews

Washington Nationals · RF · MLB — projections, accuracy, and the game log to decide for yourself.

Game log & hit rates — filter it yourself

How often Hits cleared the over 0.5 — pick a split:

7/1070% cleared overavg 0.9
09-20@ STL0
09-19@ STL1
09-19@ STL2
09-16vs PHI1
09-15vs PHI0
09-13vs LAA1
09-12vs LAA0
09-11vs LAA1
09-09@ SD1
09-09@ SD2

Trailing results, not a forecast — shown beside our projection, never instead of it. Game log via ESPN.

Tonight’s projections

Hits0.9 we project
Home Runs0.1 we project
RBIs0.5 we project
Total Bases1.6 we project

Projection accuracy — every projection we’ve logged

Marketnavg missbiaswithinlast 10
Total Bases8±1.2
Hits4±0.5

Every projection logged before tip and checked against the box score — never deleted. This is accuracy, not a betting record.

Predicted vs actual — recent

DateMarketWe saidActualMiss
09-07Hits0.92−1.1
09-01Total Bases1.30+1.3
08-27Total Bases1.32−0.7
08-26Total Bases1.24−2.8
08-25Total Bases1.21+0.2
08-24Total Bases1.20+1.2
08-18Hits0.61−0.4
08-06Hits0.91−0.1
07-25Total Bases1.30+1.3
07-22Total Bases1.22−0.8

Full game log — via ESPN

DateOppResultABRH2B3BHRRBIBBHBPSOSBCSAVGOBPSLGOPS
09-20@ STLL 5-3400000000000.222.286.371.657
09-19@ STLW 8-5 F/11501000100100.224.289.375.664
09-19@ STLW 9-1522001200100.225.291.377.668
09-16vs PHIL 3-0301000000100.222.290.369.658
09-15vs PHIW 6-3300000000000.221.289.369.658
09-13vs LAAW 6-5201000100100.223.291.372.663
09-12vs LAAW 6-5 F/10500000000100.222.290.371.662
09-11vs LAAW 4-3411000000000.225.294.376.671
09-09@ SDL 9-2301000110100.224.295.378.672
09-09@ SDL 5-4402200000100.223.292.378.671
09-07@ SDL 3-2412001200000.220.290.371.661
09-07@ LADL 7-5400000101200.217.288.361.649
09-06@ LADL 6-5412200100210.220.289.365.654
09-05@ LADL 5-3401100000200.216.287.357.644
09-02vs ATLL 9-0300000010000.216.287.356.643
09-01vs ATLW 9-5410000010200.218.288.359.647
08-30vs MIAL 6-2400000000100.220.289.363.652
08-29vs MIAW 5-4 F/10512000100200.223.292.368.660
08-28vs MIAW 9-2411100200100.220.291.367.658
08-27vs COLW 7-1512000100200.220.291.366.657