StatIQNFL projections — with the receipts
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Abimelec Ortiz

Washington Nationals · 1B · MLB — projections, accuracy, and the game log to decide for yourself.

Game log & hit rates — filter it yourself

How often Hits cleared the under 0.5 — pick a split:

7/1070% cleared underavg 0.4
09-20@ STL0
09-19@ STL0
09-16vs PHI0
09-15vs PHI0
09-13vs LAA0
09-12vs LAA2
09-11vs LAA0
09-09@ SD1
09-07@ SD1
09-07@ LAD0

Trailing results, not a forecast — shown beside our projection, never instead of it. Game log via ESPN.

Tonight’s projections

Hits0.4 we project
Home Runs0.1 we project
RBIs0.3 we project
Total Bases0.7 we project

Projection accuracy — every projection we’ve logged

Marketnavg missbiaswithinlast 10
Hits6±0.8
Total Bases2±1.1

Every projection logged before tip and checked against the box score — never deleted. This is accuracy, not a betting record.

Predicted vs actual — recent

DateMarketWe saidActualMiss
09-19Hits0.50+0.5
09-16Hits0.60+0.6
09-12Hits0.62−1.4
09-07Hits0.51−0.5
09-05Total Bases0.90+0.9
08-31Hits0.70+0.7
08-30Total Bases1.40+1.4
08-29Hits0.72−1.3

Full game log — via ESPN

DateOppResultABRH2B3BHRRBIBBHBPSOSBCSAVGOBPSLGOPS
09-20@ STLL 5-3100000000000.198.242.364.606
09-19@ STLW 8-5 F/11300000000000.200.244.367.611
09-16vs PHIL 3-0300000010200.205.250.376.626
09-15vs PHIW 6-3100000000000.211.250.386.636
09-13vs LAAW 6-5300000000200.212.252.389.641
09-12vs LAAW 6-5 F/10212100210000.218.259.400.659
09-11vs LAAW 4-3100000000100.204.239.380.619
09-09@ SDL 5-4311100000200.206.241.383.624
09-07@ SDL 3-2411000000100.202.239.375.614
09-07@ LADL 7-5100000000000.200.238.380.618
09-06@ LADL 6-5300000000200.202.240.384.624
09-05@ LADL 5-3211000100100.208.248.396.643
09-02vs ATLL 9-0400000000000.202.242.394.636
09-01vs ATLW 9-5300000000100.211.253.411.664
08-31vs MIAW 6-3310000010100.218.261.425.686
08-30vs MIAL 6-2300000000100.226.261.440.702
08-29vs MIAW 5-4 F/10502000000000.235.271.457.727
08-28vs MIAW 9-2412100000200.224.263.461.723
08-26vs COLL 13-1400000000100.208.250.444.694
08-25vs COLL 3-1201000000000.221.264.471.734