ATL at
LAD · 8:00 PM ETWill SmithLAD · vs ATL · Oct 4 · Final
Hits
0.97
0.5
+0.47
− LossOver 0.5 · -154−1.00uat ProphetX
Actual results
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- 60.6%
Today
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What is on this board: 10 plays logged at a price · everything else is a projection, not a pick
- 2 graded research rows · not part of the pick record
- 12 settled and still on the board
Founder No pre-tip calls on the MLB board for Sunday · Oct 4
MLB · Sunday · Oct 4 (ET) · Counted from the tracked plays on this board whose games have not started. Every projection and line below stays free.
Our pre-tip picks. Our committed call on the upcoming slate: the exact side we would take, published before tip and then graded in the open like everything else. The board still shows every projection; this is our side, on the record before the games.
Free here: Every projection, the market line, and the full graded record (every graded result, every loss, the CLV decomposition) stay free. The pre-tip call itself is the paid part.
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ATL atLAD · 8:00 PM ET
Tommy EdmanLAD · vs ATL · Oct 4 · Final
Hits
0.66
0.5
+0.16
+ WinUnder 0.5 · +125+1.25uat BetMGM
Why Under? Our model estimates a 46.1% chance of zero hits. The recorded +125 price needs about 44% to break even.
Actual results
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- 44.4%
Ozzie AlbiesATL · at LAD · Oct 4 · Final
Hits
0.64
0.5
+0.14
+ WinUnder 0.5 · +155+1.55uat BetMGM
Why Under? Our model estimates a 40.9% chance of zero hits. The recorded +155 price needs about 39% to break even.
Actual results
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- 39.2%
Mookie BettsLAD · vs ATL · Oct 4 · Final
Total Bases
2.15
1.5
+0.65
+ WinUnder 1.5 · -125+0.80uat BetMGM
Why Under? Our model estimates a 58.8% chance of 1 or fewer total bases. The recorded -125 price needs about 56% to break even.
Actual results
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- 55.6%
Shohei OhtaniLAD · vs ATL · Oct 4 · Final
Total Bases
1.35
1.5
−0.15
+ WinUnder 1.5 · -130+0.77uat BetMGM
Actual results
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- 56.5%
Matt OlsonATL · at LAD · Oct 4 · Final
Hits
1.03
0.5
+0.53
Actual: 1 hits · Projection: 1.03Research onlyExcluded from pick record
Actual results
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- 54.5%
Miguel RojasLAD · vs ATL · Oct 4 · Final
Hits
0.55
0.5
+0.05
Actual: 1 hits · Projection: 0.55Research onlyExcluded from pick record
Actual results
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- 49.5%
SD atMIL · 4:00 PM ET
SD at
MIL · 4:00 PM ETXander BogaertsSD · at MIL · Oct 4 · Final
Hits
1.03
0.5
+0.53
− LossOver 0.5 · -106−1.00uat Novig
Actual results
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- 51.5%
Jake CronenworthSD · at MIL · Oct 4 · Final
Hits
1.03
0.5
+0.53
− LossOver 0.5 · +105−1.00uat BetMGM
Actual results
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- 48.8%
Cooper PrattMIL · vs SD · Oct 4 · Final
Hits
0.95
0.5
+0.45
+ WinOver 0.5 · -120+0.83uat BetMGM
Actual results
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- 54.5%
Jake BauersMIL · vs SD · Oct 4 · Final
Hits
0.83
0.5
+0.33
− LossOver 0.5 · -115−1.00uat BetMGM
Actual results
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- 53.5%
Christian YelichMIL · vs SD · Oct 4 · Final
Hits
0.75
0.5
+0.25
+ WinOver 0.5 · -122+0.82uat Novig
Actual results
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- 55.0%