MLB Player Prop Projections Today, Oct 21

SD atLAD · 10:10 PM ET

Jackson MerrillSD · at LAD · Sep 22 · Final

Hits

1.36

0.5

+0.86

− LossOver 0.5 · -158−1.00uat ProphetX

Actual results

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: 61.2%

Samad TaylorSD · at LAD · Sep 22 · Final

Hits

1.13

0.5

+0.63

VoidOver 0.5 · -1430.00uat BetRivers

Actual results

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: 58.8%

Teoscar HernandezLAD · vs SD · Sep 22 · Final

Hits

1.10

0.5

+0.60

+ WinOver 0.5 · -134+0.75uat ProphetX

Actual results

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: 57.3%

MIN atSF · 9:45 PM ET

Drew CavanaughSF · vs MIN · Sep 22 · Final

Hits

0.55

0.5

+0.05

+ WinUnder 0.5 · -112+0.89uat betPARX

Why Under? Our model estimates a 55.1% chance of zero hits. The recorded -112 price needs about 53% to break even.

Actual results

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: 52.8%

Victor CaratiniMIN · at SF · Sep 22 · Final

Hits

0.55

0.5

+0.05

+ WinUnder 0.5 · +150+1.50uat BetMGM

Why Under? Our model estimates a 42.4% chance of zero hits. The recorded +150 price needs about 40% to break even.

Actual results

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: 40.0%

Luke KeaschallMIN · at SF · Sep 22 · Final

Total Bases

1.25

1.5

−0.25

− LossUnder 1.5 · -140−1.00uat BetMGM

Actual results

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: 58.3%

LAA atATH · 9:40 PM ET

Oswald PerazaLAA · at ATH · Sep 22 · Final

Hits

0.57

0.5

+0.07

VoidUnder 0.5 · +1600.00uat BetMGM

Why Under? Our model estimates a 39.8% chance of zero hits. The recorded +160 price needs about 38% to break even.

Actual results

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: 38.5%

Travis d'ArnaudLAA · at ATH · Sep 22 · Final

Hits

0.35

0.5

−0.15

VoidUnder 0.5 · +1200.00uat BetMGM

Actual results

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: 45.5%

Bryce TeodosioLAA · at ATH · Sep 22 · Final

0.27

0.5

−0.23

+ WinUnder 0.5 · +110+1.10uat ESPN BET

Actual results

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: 47.6%

Denzel ClarkeATH · vs LAA · Sep 22 · Final

0.21

0.5

−0.29

+ WinUnder 0.5 · +100+1.00uat ESPN BET

Actual results

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: 50.0%

Jose SiriLAA · at ATH · Sep 22 · Final

1.10

1.5

−0.40

+ WinUnder 1.5 · -150+0.67uat ESPN BET

Actual results

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: 60.0%

Wade MecklerLAA · at ATH · Sep 22 · Final

0.83

0.5

+0.33

Actual: 1 hits · Projection: 0.83Research onlyExcluded from pick record

Actual results

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: 61.4%

Vaughn GrissomLAA · at ATH · Sep 22 · Final

0.65

1.5

−0.85

Actual: 3 hits · Projection: 0.65Research onlyExcluded from pick record

Actual results

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: 67.7%

Jonah HeimATH · vs LAA · Sep 22 · Final

0.64

0.5

+0.14

Actual: 0 hits · Projection: 0.64Research onlyExcluded from pick record

Actual results

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: 37.0%

Christian MooreLAA · at ATH · Sep 22 · Final

0.56

0.5

+0.06

Actual: 0 hits · Projection: 0.56Research onlyExcluded from pick record

Actual results

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: 39.2%

Moises BallesterosLAA · at ATH · Sep 22 · Final

Total Bases

1.38

1.5

−0.12

Actual: 1 total bases · Projection: 1.38Research onlyExcluded from pick record

Actual results

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: 60.0%

Denzer GuzmanLAA · at ATH · Sep 22 · Final

Total Bases

1.12

1.5

−0.38

Actual: 4 total bases · Projection: 1.12Research onlyExcluded from pick record

Actual results

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: 55.6%

Tommy WhiteATH · vs LAA · Sep 22 · Final

Total Bases

0.90

1.5

−0.60

Actual: 2 total bases · Projection: 0.90Research onlyExcluded from pick record

Actual results

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: 61.8%

HOU atSEA · 9:40 PM ET

Daulton VarshoHOU · at SEA · Sep 22 · Final

Hits

0.67

0.5

+0.17

VoidUnder 0.5 · +1000.00uat betPARX

Why Under? Our model estimates a 54.0% chance of zero hits. The recorded +100 price needs about 50% to break even.

Actual results

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: 50.0%

Brice MatthewsHOU · at SEA · Sep 22 · Final

Total Bases

0.66

0.5

+0.16

− LossUnder 0.5 · -117−1.00uat ProphetX

Why Under? Our model estimates a 56.1% chance of zero total bases. The recorded -117 price needs about 54% to break even.

Actual results

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: 53.9%

Brock RoddenSEA · vs HOU · Sep 22 · Final

Total Bases

0.51

0.5

+0.01

+ WinUnder 0.5 · -130+0.75uat ProphetX

Why Under? Our model estimates a 58.6% chance of zero total bases. The recorded -130 price needs about 57% to break even.

Actual results

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: 56.5%

ARI atCOL · 8:40 PM ET

Mickey MoniakCOL · vs ARI · Sep 22 · Final

Hits

0.66

0.5

+0.16

− LossUnder 0.5 · +160−1.00uat betPARX

Why Under? Our model estimates a 39.8% chance of zero hits. The recorded +160 price needs about 38% to break even.

Actual results

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: 38.5%

Ryan WaldschmidtARI · at COL · Sep 22 · Final

0.55

0.5

+0.05

VoidUnder 0.5 · +1900.00uat BetMGM

Why Under? Our model estimates a 36.4% chance of zero hits. The recorded +190 price needs about 34% to break even.

Actual results

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: 34.5%

Zac VeenCOL · vs ARI · Sep 22 · Final

0.42

0.5

−0.08

+ WinUnder 0.5 · +110+1.10uat BetMGM

Actual results

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: 47.6%

Ildemaro VargasARI · at COL · Sep 22 · Final

Total Bases

1.06

1.5

−0.44

− LossUnder 1.5 · +110−1.00uat ESPN BET

Actual results

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: 47.6%

Tim TawaARI · at COL · Sep 22 · Final

Total Bases

1.06

1.5

−0.44

− LossUnder 1.5 · -122−1.00uat ProphetX

Actual results

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: 55.0%

Ketel MarteARI · at COL · Sep 22 · Final

Total Bases

1.66

2.5

−0.84

Actual: 1 total bases · Projection: 1.66Research onlyExcluded from pick record

Actual results

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: 55.0%

Jose FernandezARI · at COL · Sep 22 · Final

Total Bases

0.88

1.5

−0.62

Actual: 0 total bases · Projection: 0.88Research onlyExcluded from pick record

Actual results

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: 58.3%

NYM atTEX · 8:05 PM ET

Wyatt LangfordTEX · vs NYM · Sep 22 · Final

Hits

0.73

0.5

+0.23

− LossOver 0.5 · -148−1.00uat ProphetX

Actual results

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: 59.7%

Luis TorrensNYM · at TEX · Sep 22 · Final

Hits

0.67

0.5

+0.17

+ WinUnder 0.5 · +115+1.15uat BetMGM

Why Under? Our model estimates a 50.1% chance of zero hits. The recorded +115 price needs about 47% to break even.

Actual results

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: 46.5%

Nick MorabitoNYM · at TEX · Sep 22 · Final

Hits

0.39

0.5

−0.11

VoidUnder 0.5 · -1480.00uat betPARX

Actual results

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: 59.7%

CWS atKC · 7:40 PM ET

Randal GrichukCWS · at KC · Sep 22 · Final

Hits

0.81

0.5

+0.31

+ WinOver 0.5 · -147+0.68uat Novig

Actual results

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: 59.5%

Tommy PhamCWS · at KC · Sep 22 · Final

0.21

0.5

−0.29

+ WinUnder 0.5 · +170+1.70uat DraftKings

Actual results

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: 37.0%

Jac CaglianoneKC · vs CWS · Sep 22 · Final

Total Bases

1.33

1.5

−0.17

− LossUnder 1.5 · -155−1.00uat BetMGM

Actual results

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: 60.8%

Brenton DoyleCWS · at KC · Sep 22 · Final

Total Bases

0.79

0.5

+0.29

− LossUnder 0.5 · +120−1.00uat ESPN BET

Why Under? Our model estimates a 47.5% chance of zero total bases. The recorded +120 price needs about 45% to break even.

Actual results

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: 45.5%

Luisangel AcunaCWS · at KC · Sep 22 · Final

0.38

0.5

−0.12

+ WinUnder 0.5 · +120+1.20uat ESPN BET

Actual results

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: 45.5%

Vinnie PasquantinoKC · vs CWS · Sep 22 · Final

Hits

0.92

0.5

+0.42

Actual: 3 hits · Projection: 0.92Research onlyExcluded from pick record

Actual results

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: 57.6%

Isaac CollinsKC · vs CWS · Sep 22 · Final

Total Bases

0.56

0.5

+0.06

Did not play · Projection: 0.56Research onlyExcluded from pick record

Actual results

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: 45.5%

Tyler TolbertKC · vs CWS · Sep 22 · Final

Total Bases

0.42

0.5

−0.08

Actual: 1 total bases · Projection: 0.42Research onlyExcluded from pick record

Actual results

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: 47.6%

MIA atCHC · 7:40 PM ET

Pete Crow-ArmstrongCHC · vs MIA · Sep 22 · Final

Hits

1.16

0.5

+0.66

+ WinOver 0.5 · -198+0.49uat ProphetX

Actual results

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: 66.4%

Dansby SwansonCHC · vs MIA · Sep 22 · Final

Hits

0.82

0.5

+0.32

− LossOver 0.5 · -127−1.00uat Novig

Actual results

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: 55.9%

Michael ConfortoCHC · vs MIA · Sep 22 · Final

Hits

0.71

0.5

+0.21

− LossOver 0.5 · -113−1.00uat ProphetX

Actual results

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: 53.1%

Pedro RamirezCHC · vs MIA · Sep 22 · Final

Hits

0.71

0.5

+0.21

− LossOver 0.5 · -134−1.00uat ProphetX

Actual results

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: 57.3%

Esteury RuizMIA · at CHC · Sep 22 · Final

Hits

0.41

0.5

−0.09

+ WinUnder 0.5 · -125+0.80uat BetMGM

Actual results

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: 55.6%

Javier SanojaMIA · at CHC · Sep 22 · Final

Hits

1.13

0.5

+0.63

Actual: 2 hits · Projection: 1.13Research onlyExcluded from pick record

Actual results

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: 60.0%

Griffin ConineMIA · at CHC · Sep 22 · Final

Hits

0.90

0.5

+0.40

Actual: 1 hits · Projection: 0.90Research onlyExcluded from pick record

Actual results

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: 44.4%

CIN atATL · 7:15 PM ET

Matt McLainCIN · at ATL · Sep 22 · Final

Hits

0.48

0.5

−0.02

− LossUnder 0.5 · +123−1.00uat ProphetX

Actual results

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: 44.8%

Ke'Bryan HayesCIN · at ATL · Sep 22 · Final

0.30

0.5

−0.20

+ WinUnder 0.5 · +110+1.10uat ESPN BET

Actual results

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: 47.6%

Carlos JorgeCIN · at ATL · Sep 22 · Final

0.25

0.5

−0.25

− LossUnder 0.5 · +140−1.00uat ESPN BET

Actual results

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: 41.7%

Ha-Seong KimATL · vs CIN · Sep 22 · Final

0.49

0.5

−0.01

+ WinUnder 0.5 · +100+1.00uat ESPN BET

Actual results

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: 50.0%

Tuesday · Sep 22

Today

SD atLAD · 10:10 PM ET

MIN atSF · 9:45 PM ET

LAA atATH · 9:40 PM ET

HOU atSEA · 9:40 PM ET

ARI atCOL · 8:40 PM ET

NYM atTEX · 8:05 PM ET

CWS atKC · 7:40 PM ET

MIA atCHC · 7:40 PM ET

CIN atATL · 7:15 PM ET

Tuesday · Sep 22

SD atLAD · 10:10 PM ET

MIN atSF · 9:45 PM ET

LAA atATH · 9:40 PM ET

HOU atSEA · 9:40 PM ET

ARI atCOL · 8:40 PM ET

NYM atTEX · 8:05 PM ET

CWS atKC · 7:40 PM ET

MIA atCHC · 7:40 PM ET

CIN atATL · 7:15 PM ET