StatIQNFL projections — with the receipts
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Natasha Mack

Phoenix Mercury · F · WNBA — projections, accuracy, and the game log to decide for yourself.

Game log & hit rates — filter it yourself

How often Points cleared the under 9.5 — pick a split:

6/1060% cleared underavg 9.2
09-19@ DAL16
09-18@ POR11
08-30vs TOR8
08-28vs WSH10
08-26vs WSH19
08-23vs ATL0
08-16vs POR7
08-12vs LA9
08-09@ WSH8
08-07@ CON4

Trailing results, not a forecast — shown beside our projection, never instead of it. Game log via ESPN.

Tonight’s projections

Points7.6 we project
Rebounds6.4 we project

Projection accuracy — every projection we’ve logged

Marketnavg missbiaswithinlast 10
Rebounds2±4.4

Every projection logged before tip and checked against the box score — never deleted. This is accuracy, not a betting record.

Predicted vs actual — recent

DateMarketWe saidActualMiss
08-05Rebounds5.51+4.5
07-22Rebounds7.33+4.3

Full game log — via ESPN

DateOppResultMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOFGFG%3PT3P%FTFT%PF
09-19@ DALL 87-822916701217-1163.60-10.02-2100.04
09-18@ PORW 94-912711513213-650.00-00.05-5100.01
08-30vs TORW 101-69198811014-850.00-00.00-00.01
08-28vs WSHL 80-732810922414-944.40-00.02-2100.01
08-26vs WSHL 94-842519803309-1275.00-00.01-1100.04
08-23vs ATLL 99-89190500110-20.00-00.00-00.03
08-16vs PORL 88-85187410113-560.00-00.01-250.03
08-12vs LAW 94-87139410004-4100.00-00.01-1100.02
08-09@ WSHL 95-75238701024-757.10-10.00-00.03
08-07@ CONL 75-72184621002-366.70-00.00-00.02
08-05@ ATLL 96-82142100000-20.00-00.02-2100.02
08-04@ CHIW 106-101189310103-560.00-00.03-475.04
08-01vs NYL 94-92125320012-2100.00-00.01-250.01
07-30vs GSW 91-89188311103-475.00-10.02-2100.03
07-22@ LAW 86-821510310225-862.50-00.00-00.02
07-19vs CONW 72-63204501112-450.00-10.00-00.04
06-23@ INDL 86-77214710032-728.60-00.00-00.03
06-20vs SEAW 93-7323101020124-1040.00-00.02-450.02
06-18vs LVL 86-76230800100-30.00-10.00-00.03
06-14vs LAL 111-102 OT35111244305-955.60-10.01-1100.02