
Alyssa Thomas
Phoenix Mercury · F · WNBA — projections, accuracy, and the game log to decide for yourself.
Game log & hit rates — filter it yourself
How often Assists cleared the under 7.5 — pick a split:
3/1030% cleared underavg 8.6
09-19@ DAL11✗
09-18@ POR6✓
08-30vs TOR12✗
08-28vs WSH8✗
08-26vs WSH10✗
08-23vs ATL10✗
08-16vs POR9✗
08-12vs LA9✗
08-09@ WSH6✓
08-07@ CON5✓
Trailing results, not a forecast — shown beside our projection, never instead of it. Game log via ESPN.
Tonight’s projections
Assists7.7 we project
Points15.0 we project
Pts+Reb+Ast29.6 we project
Rebounds8.3 we project
Projection accuracy — every projection we’ve logged
Marketnavg missbiaswithinlast 10
Rebounds4———±1.6
Assists2———±1.5
Points2———±2.9
Pts+Reb+Ast1———±3.9
Every projection logged before tip and checked against the box score — never deleted. This is accuracy, not a betting record.
Predicted vs actual — recent
DateMarketWe saidActualMiss
08-29Rebounds6.86+0.8
08-27Assists6.98−1.1
08-25Points12.716−3.3
08-22Points13.411+2.4
08-16Rebounds8.011−3.0
08-09Assists7.96+1.9
08-07Rebounds7.48−0.6
08-05Rebounds6.95+1.9
07-19Pts+Reb+Ast27.924+3.9
Full game log — via ESPN
| Date | Opp | Result | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FG | FG% | 3PT | 3P% | FT | FT% | PF |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-19 | @ DAL | L 87-82 | 30 | 19 | 10 | 11 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 8-11 | 72.7 | 0-0 | 0.0 | 3-5 | 60.0 | 2 |
| 09-18 | @ POR | W 94-91 | 31 | 18 | 8 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 6-8 | 75.0 | 0-0 | 0.0 | 6-10 | 60.0 | 3 |
| 08-30 | vs TOR | W 101-69 | 22 | 4 | 6 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2-5 | 40.0 | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0-0 | 0.0 | 2 |
| 08-28 | vs WSH | L 80-73 | 32 | 4 | 10 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1-5 | 20.0 | 0-0 | 0.0 | 2-2 | 100.0 | 2 |
| 08-26 | vs WSH | L 94-84 | 31 | 16 | 6 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 8-13 | 61.5 | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0-0 | 0.0 | 4 |
| 08-23 | vs ATL | L 99-89 | 33 | 11 | 16 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4-10 | 40.0 | 0-0 | 0.0 | 3-5 | 60.0 | 2 |
| 08-16 | vs POR | L 88-85 | 34 | 17 | 11 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 7-11 | 63.6 | 1-1 | 100.0 | 2-2 | 100.0 | 3 |
| 08-12 | vs LA | W 94-87 | 33 | 16 | 7 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 5-8 | 62.5 | 0-0 | 0.0 | 6-7 | 85.7 | 1 |
| 08-09 | @ WSH | L 95-75 | 31 | 10 | 10 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5-15 | 33.3 | 0-1 | 0.0 | 0-0 | 0.0 | 2 |
| 08-07 | @ CON | L 75-72 | 35 | 10 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 3-9 | 33.3 | 0-0 | 0.0 | 4-10 | 40.0 | 4 |
| 08-05 | @ ATL | L 96-82 | 38 | 17 | 5 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 7-12 | 58.3 | 0-0 | 0.0 | 3-4 | 75.0 | 1 |
| 08-04 | @ CHI | W 106-101 | 38 | 19 | 15 | 12 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 5-9 | 55.6 | 0-0 | 0.0 | 9-9 | 100.0 | 5 |
| 08-01 | vs NY | L 94-92 | 36 | 17 | 6 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 7-12 | 58.3 | 0-0 | 0.0 | 3-4 | 75.0 | 4 |
| 07-30 | vs GS | W 91-89 | 38 | 25 | 9 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 10-14 | 71.4 | 0-0 | 0.0 | 5-8 | 62.5 | 2 |
| 07-22 | @ LA | W 86-82 | 36 | 19 | 11 | 15 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 5-9 | 55.6 | 0-0 | 0.0 | 9-13 | 69.2 | 2 |
| 07-19 | vs CON | W 72-63 | 34 | 7 | 6 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2-9 | 22.2 | 0-0 | 0.0 | 3-6 | 50.0 | 4 |
| 07-18 | vs CON | L 96-83 | 36 | 17 | 8 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 7-12 | 58.3 | 0-0 | 0.0 | 3-4 | 75.0 | 5 |
| 07-14 | @ MIN | L 104-100 | 37 | 19 | 8 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 8-14 | 57.1 | 0-0 | 0.0 | 3-4 | 75.0 | 1 |
| 07-11 | @ LV | L 106-58 | 29 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3-8 | 37.5 | 0-0 | 0.0 | 1-2 | 50.0 | 1 |
| 07-10 | vs IND | L 92-89 | 33 | 22 | 6 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 10-18 | 55.6 | 0-0 | 0.0 | 2-2 | 100.0 | 4 |