StatIQNFL projections — with the receipts
← Projections

Sami Whitcomb

Phoenix Mercury · G · WNBA — projections, accuracy, and the game log to decide for yourself.

Game log & hit rates — filter it yourself

How often Assists cleared the under 3.5 — pick a split:

6/1060% cleared underavg 2.9
09-19@ DAL4
09-18@ POR4
08-30vs TOR2
08-28vs WSH0
08-26vs WSH3
08-23vs ATL5
08-16vs POR4
08-12vs LA3
08-09@ WSH3
08-07@ CON1

Trailing results, not a forecast — shown beside our projection, never instead of it. Game log via ESPN.

Tonight’s projections

Assists1.4 we project
Points4.8 we project
Pts+Reb+Ast7.8 we project
Rebounds1.7 we project
3-Pointers Made0.6 we project

Projection accuracy — every projection we’ve logged

Marketnavg missbiaswithinlast 10
3-Pointers Made2±0.4
Assists1±0.7

Every projection logged before tip and checked against the box score — never deleted. This is accuracy, not a betting record.

Predicted vs actual — recent

DateMarketWe saidActualMiss
09-193-Pointers Made0.61−0.4
08-29Assists1.32−0.7
08-163-Pointers Made0.71−0.3

Full game log — via ESPN

DateOppResultMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOFGFG%3PT3P%FTFT%PF
09-19@ DALL 87-82254140031-714.31-520.01-1100.03
09-18@ PORW 94-912611241104-944.43-742.90-00.04
08-30vs TORW 101-691614321005-862.54-666.70-00.01
08-28vs WSHL 80-73193000021-425.01-250.00-00.01
08-26vs WSHL 94-84161130110-40.00-20.01-1100.00
08-23vs ATLL 99-89286250052-633.32-540.00-00.05
08-16vs PORL 88-852611242013-1030.01-812.54-4100.05
08-12vs LAW 94-87227432012-633.32-540.01-1100.01
08-09@ WSHL 95-75143131021-333.31-333.30-00.01
08-07@ CONL 75-72135111001-425.01-333.32-2100.01
08-05@ ATLL 96-82149120003-742.93-650.00-00.00
08-04@ CHIW 106-101150110000-10.00-10.00-00.02
08-01vs NYL 94-92154030011-425.01-333.31-1100.01
07-30vs GSW 91-89130100000-40.00-20.00-00.01
07-22@ LAW 86-82188311013-837.52-728.60-00.04
07-18vs CONL 96-83134100012-2100.00-00.00-00.02
07-14@ MINL 104-100199120013-475.03-475.00-00.02
07-11@ LVL 106-58110332020-30.00-30.00-00.02
07-10vs INDL 92-89112411010-50.00-50.02-2100.01
04-30vs JPNW 86-602112100023-560.03-560.03-3100.01