StatIQPlayer projections, with the receipts

Ty Johnson Projections

BUF · RB · #26

Next game at MIN · Week 9 · Sun, Nov 8, 7:00 PM ET

19.8StatIQ projection · receiving yards
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Projections & lines

Not yet measured for players projected before a line posted · Updated Thu 5:14 PM ET

Early projection, no line yet; lines usually post midweek. Model v9 · generated Thu, Nov 5, 5:14 PM ET.

Measured, not bet

NFL projections are graded against the result, never bet: no NFL play is logged at a price.

MarketProjectionLineGap
Receiving Yards19.8No line yet–
Receptions2.0No line yet–

Recent receiving yards

25.6Average receiving yards, last 10 (10 games)

Actual · 2026 Actual · 2025 ProjectionBars: actual games (2026 in full colour, 2025 lighter; earlier season dimmed). Dashed: our projection for the next game.

Current through Nov 1

Last 10 games
GameREC YDSREC
Nov 1, 2026vs BAL193
Oct 18, 2026at LV242
Oct 12, 2026at LAR724
Oct 4, 2026vs NE92
Sep 27, 2026vs LAC504
Jan 4, 2026vs NYJ202
Dec 28, 2025vs PHI333
Dec 21, 2025at CLE00
Dec 14, 2025at NE153
Dec 7, 2025vs CIN142
Average · last 10 games25.62.5

REC: Early projection · no line posted yet

Stats and game log: receptions

Ty Johnson’s last 5 games on one page

How to read this

Model accuracy · Players projected before a line posted

Not yet measured for players projected before a line posted. This number was projected before the market posted a line, so it is measured as its own group once those games are graded, never folded into the figures for projections that had a posted line.

See the 2026 NFL forward test

How this is calculated

For context, Ty Johnson has averaged 34.8 yards over his last 5 games and 34.8 yards per game this season (2026); the model is not recomputed from those averages.

Projection
StatIQ’s single number for Ty Johnson’s receiving yards in this game: not a range and not a pick.
Actual
Ty Johnson’s box-score result in each regular-season game (via ESPN): the bars in the chart.
Opponent
MIN
Kickoff
Sun, Nov 8, 7:00 PM ET
Availability
Injury reports: not on StatIQ for NFL yet
Opponent defense
MIN allowed the 32nd-most receiving yards to RBs in 2025 19.5 yards/game · 32nd of 32

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