StatIQNFL projections — with the receipts

Lamar Jackson Projections

BAL · QB · #8
No injury designation — board data as of Oct 2, 2:13 AM
vs TEN
Sun, Oct 4, 1:00 PM ET · Week 4
Compare
PASS TDPASS YDS
1.4passing touchdowns projected vs TEN
Season average 1.3 · Last five 1.4
Updated Oct 1
Typically within 1 of the result
Recent passing touchdowns
011221IND1NO2DALStatIQ projection 1.4
Tap a bar — or a row below — to link a number to its game.
DateOpponentPASS TD
Sep 27, 2026vs vs DAL2
Sep 20, 2026vs vs NO1
Sep 13, 2026@ @ IND1
Splits are what he has actually done. The projection is pinned — it does not change when you switch splits.
Dig deeper into Lamar Jackson
Recent games, opponent history, third downs, injuries, comparisons, the exact plays — you decide.
How is Lamar Jackson trending lately?1.4 per gameover the last 5 gamesExplore this question

Projection context: Lamar Jackson, 1.4 passing touchdowns

StatIQ projects Lamar Jackson for 1.4 passing touchdowns against TEN in Week 4. It’s the model’s single-number projection — not a range or a guaranteed outcome — and the game log above is the actual history behind it, so you can judge the number yourself.

What we’re seeing, as supporting evidence rather than the reason the model landed on this number: Lamar Jackson has averaged 1.4 over his last 5 games and 1.3 per game this season (2026). That’s the recent record to weigh the projection against — the model is not recomputed from these averages.

Across 91 completed passing touchdowns projections, StatIQ has landed within 1 of the actual result on average — the track record behind this number.

See Lamar Jackson’s last 5 games in full
StatIQ’s Passing Touchdowns track record
1
average projection miss
91 completed passing touchdowns projections across all players
See the 2026 forward test
This matchup
Opponent
TEN
Kickoff
Sun, Oct 4, 1:00 PM ET
Status
No injury designation — board data as of Oct 2, 2:13 AM
Recent form
1.4 over the last 5
Common questions
What is StatIQ's passing touchdowns projection for Lamar Jackson vs TEN?

StatIQ projects Lamar Jackson for 1.4 passing touchdowns against TEN in Week 4. It is the model's single-number projection — not a range or a guaranteed outcome — with the full game log on the page so you can weigh it yourself.

How has Lamar Jackson performed in passing touchdowns recently?

Lamar Jackson has averaged 1.4 over his last 5 games and 1.3 per game this season (2026). That is context to weigh the projection against — the model is not recomputed from these averages.

How accurate are StatIQ's passing touchdowns projections?

Across 91 completed passing touchdowns projections, StatIQ has landed within 1 of the actual result on average — the track record behind this number.

The rest of BAL vs TEN
the whole game
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