StatIQNFL projections — with the receipts

Travis Kelce Projections

KC · TE · #87
No injury designation — board data as of Oct 2, 2:13 AM
vs LV
Sun, Oct 4, 4:25 PM ET · Week 4
Compare
REC YDSREC
50.8receiving yards projected vs LV
Season average 77 · Last five 55.8
Updated Oct 1
Typically within 22.4 yards of the result
Recent receiving yards
028578511371DEN101IND59MIAStatIQ projection 50.8
Tap a bar — or a row below — to link a number to its game.
DateOpponentREC YDS
Sep 27, 2026@ @ MIA59
Sep 21, 2026vs vs IND101
Sep 15, 2026vs vs DEN71
Splits are what he has actually done. The projection is pinned — it does not change when you switch splits.
Dig deeper into Travis Kelce
Recent games, opponent history, third downs, injuries, comparisons, the exact plays — you decide.
How has Travis Kelce done against LV?33 yards per game2 games vs LVExplore this question

Projection context: Travis Kelce, 50.8 receiving yards

StatIQ projects Travis Kelce for 50.8 receiving yards against LV in Week 4. It’s the model’s single-number projection — not a range or a guaranteed outcome — and the game log above is the actual history behind it, so you can judge the number yourself.

What we’re seeing, as supporting evidence rather than the reason the model landed on this number: Travis Kelce has averaged 55.8 yards over his last 5 games, 77 yards per game this season (2026), and 33 yards across 2 games against LV. That’s the recent record to weigh the projection against — the model is not recomputed from these averages.

Across 482 completed receiving yards projections, StatIQ has landed within 22.4 yards of the actual result on average — the track record behind this number.

See Travis Kelce’s last 5 games in full
StatIQ’s Receiving Yards track record
22.4yards
average projection miss
25 within
482 completed receiving yards projections across all players
See the 2026 forward test
This matchup
Opponent
LV
Kickoff
Sun, Oct 4, 4:25 PM ET
Status
No injury designation — board data as of Oct 2, 2:13 AM
Recent form
55.8 yards over the last 5
Common questions
What is StatIQ's receiving yards projection for Travis Kelce vs LV?

StatIQ projects Travis Kelce for 50.8 yards receiving yards against LV in Week 4. It is the model's single-number projection — not a range or a guaranteed outcome — with the full game log on the page so you can weigh it yourself.

How has Travis Kelce performed in receiving yards recently?

Travis Kelce has averaged 55.8 yards over his last 5 games, 77 yards per game this season (2026), and 33 yards across 2 games against LV. That is context to weigh the projection against — the model is not recomputed from these averages.

How accurate are StatIQ's receiving yards projections?

Across 482 completed receiving yards projections, StatIQ has landed within 22.4 yards of the actual result on average — the track record behind this number.

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the whole game
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