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Drake Maye Projections

NE · QB · #10
No injury designation — board data as of Oct 2, 2:13 AM
vs BUF
Sun, Oct 4, 1:00 PM ET · Week 4
Compare
PASS TDPASS YDS
1.1passing touchdowns projected vs BUF
Season average 0.3 · Last five 1.4
Updated Oct 1
Typically within 1 of the result
Recent passing touchdowns
001111SEA0PIT0JAXStatIQ projection 1.1
Tap a bar — or a row below — to link a number to its game.
DateOpponentPASS TD
Sep 27, 2026@ @ JAX0
Sep 20, 2026vs vs PIT0
Sep 10, 2026@ @ SEA1
Splits are what he has actually done. The projection is pinned — it does not change when you switch splits.
Dig deeper into Drake Maye
Recent games, opponent history, third downs, injuries, comparisons, the exact plays — you decide.
How has Drake Maye done against BUF?0 per game2 games vs BUFExplore this question

Projection context: Drake Maye, 1.1 passing touchdowns

StatIQ projects Drake Maye for 1.1 passing touchdowns against BUF in Week 4. It’s the model’s single-number projection — not a range or a guaranteed outcome — and the game log above is the actual history behind it, so you can judge the number yourself.

What we’re seeing, as supporting evidence rather than the reason the model landed on this number: Drake Maye has averaged 1.4 over his last 5 games, 0.3 per game this season (2026), and 0 across 2 games against BUF. That’s the recent record to weigh the projection against — the model is not recomputed from these averages.

Across 91 completed passing touchdowns projections, StatIQ has landed within 1 of the actual result on average — the track record behind this number.

See Drake Maye’s last 5 games in full
StatIQ’s Passing Touchdowns track record
1
average projection miss
91 completed passing touchdowns projections across all players
See the 2026 forward test
This matchup
Opponent
BUF
Kickoff
Sun, Oct 4, 1:00 PM ET
Status
No injury designation — board data as of Oct 2, 2:13 AM
Recent form
1.4 over the last 5
Common questions
What is StatIQ's passing touchdowns projection for Drake Maye vs BUF?

StatIQ projects Drake Maye for 1.1 passing touchdowns against BUF in Week 4. It is the model's single-number projection — not a range or a guaranteed outcome — with the full game log on the page so you can weigh it yourself.

How has Drake Maye performed in passing touchdowns recently?

Drake Maye has averaged 1.4 over his last 5 games, 0.3 per game this season (2026), and 0 across 2 games against BUF. That is context to weigh the projection against — the model is not recomputed from these averages.

How accurate are StatIQ's passing touchdowns projections?

Across 91 completed passing touchdowns projections, StatIQ has landed within 1 of the actual result on average — the track record behind this number.

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