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Derrick Henry Projections

BAL · RB · #22
No injury designation — board data as of Oct 2, 2:13 AM
vs TEN
Sun, Oct 4, 1:00 PM ET · Week 4
Compare
RUSH+RECRUSH YDS
109.5rush + rec yards projected vs TEN
Season average 113 · Last five 136.2
Updated Oct 1
Typically within 28.8 yards of the result
Recent rush + rec yards
04691137183163IND87NO89DALStatIQ projection 109.5
Tap a bar — or a row below — to link a number to its game.
DateOpponentRUSH+REC
Sep 27, 2026vs vs DAL89
Sep 20, 2026vs vs NO87
Sep 13, 2026@ @ IND163
Splits are what he has actually done. The projection is pinned — it does not change when you switch splits.
Dig deeper into Derrick Henry
Recent games, opponent history, third downs, injuries, comparisons, the exact plays — you decide.
How is Derrick Henry trending lately?136.2 yards per gameover the last 5 gamesExplore this question

Projection context: Derrick Henry, 109.5 rush + rec yards

StatIQ projects Derrick Henry for 109.5 rush + rec yards against TEN in Week 4. It’s the model’s single-number projection — not a range or a guaranteed outcome — and the game log above is the actual history behind it, so you can judge the number yourself.

What we’re seeing, as supporting evidence rather than the reason the model landed on this number: Derrick Henry has averaged 136.2 yards over his last 5 games and 113 yards per game this season (2026). That’s the recent record to weigh the projection against — the model is not recomputed from these averages.

Across 184 completed rush + rec yards projections, StatIQ has landed within 28.8 yards of the actual result on average — the track record behind this number.

See Derrick Henry’s last 5 games in full
StatIQ’s Rush + Rec Yards track record
28.8yards
average projection miss
184 completed rush + rec yards projections across all players
See the 2026 forward test
This matchup
Opponent
TEN
Kickoff
Sun, Oct 4, 1:00 PM ET
Status
No injury designation — board data as of Oct 2, 2:13 AM
Recent form
136.2 yards over the last 5
Common questions
What is StatIQ's rush + rec yards projection for Derrick Henry vs TEN?

StatIQ projects Derrick Henry for 109.5 yards rush + rec yards against TEN in Week 4. It is the model's single-number projection — not a range or a guaranteed outcome — with the full game log on the page so you can weigh it yourself.

How has Derrick Henry performed in rush + rec yards recently?

Derrick Henry has averaged 136.2 yards over his last 5 games and 113 yards per game this season (2026). That is context to weigh the projection against — the model is not recomputed from these averages.

How accurate are StatIQ's rush + rec yards projections?

Across 184 completed rush + rec yards projections, StatIQ has landed within 28.8 yards of the actual result on average — the track record behind this number.

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