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Derrick Henry rushing yards projection vs the line

BAL · RB · #22

Next game vs JAX · Week 9 · Thu, Nov 5, 8:15 PM ET

66.8StatIQ projection · rushing yards
69.5Line · consensus
−2.7Gap
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Projections & lines

Rushing Yards by game

97.4Average rushing yards, last 10 (10 games)Over 69.5 in 6 of 10 · past results, not odds

Actual · 2026 Actual · 2025 Projection Market lineBars: actual games (2026 in full colour, 2025 lighter; earlier season dimmed). Dashed: our projection for the next game. Dotted: the market line, which the hit count is measured against.

Current through Nov 1 · ● landed over · ○ did not

Last 10 games
GameRUSH YDS
Nov 1, 2026at BUF53
Oct 25, 2026vs CIN45
Oct 18, 2026at CLE58
Oct 11, 2026at ATL102
Oct 4, 2026vs TEN73
Sep 27, 2026vs DAL89
Sep 20, 2026vs NO68
Sep 13, 2026at IND144
Jan 4, 2026at PIT126
Dec 27, 2025at GB216
Average · last 10 games97.4

How to read this

How this is calculated

Projection
StatIQ’s single number for Derrick Henry’s rushing yards in this game: not a range and not advice.
Line
The market’s number for the same stat, shown so the two can be compared.
Average
The mean of Derrick Henry’s rushing yards over the games counted: a historical figure, never a projection.
Actual
Derrick Henry’s box-score result in each regular-season game (via ESPN).

At a glance

Season average
79 a game 2026 season
Games logged
25 regular-season games with a rushing yards value

Compare prices

Rushing Yards · line 69.5.

3 books have a price on this market. Members see each book’s price side by side, with the best price on each side marked.

The middle price across books: Over −117 · Under −110.

Prices as of Nov 5, 6:45 PM ET.

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