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Blake Corum Projections

LA · RB · #24

Next game vs ARI · Week 6 · Sun, Oct 18, 4:05 PM ET

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Projections & lines

4 markets
RECRUSH YDSREC YDSRUSH+REC
Receptions · Week 6

vs ARI · Sun, Oct 18, 4:05 PM ET

Projection only
1.5Projection · receptions
1.5Line · consensus
0.0Gap

Average · last 5 games 1.4

Average miss 1.6 · NFL reception model · 146 graded projections · Updated Oct 16

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Measured, not bet

NFL projections are graded against the result, never bet: no NFL play is logged at a price.

MarketProjectionLineGap
Receptions1.51.50.0
Rushing Yards31.443.5−12.2
Receiving Yards16.17.5+8.6
Rush + Rec Yards54.755.5−0.8

Recent receptions

actual results · regular season · via ESPN

1.0Average receptions, last 10 (10 games)Over 1.5 in 2 of 10 · past results, not odds

Actual · 2026 Actual · 2025 Projection Market line Typical miss (past) · ±1.6 around the projection. How far past projections landed on average, not a range for this gameBars: actual games (2026 in full colour, 2025 lighter; earlier season dimmed). Dashed: our projection for the next game. Dotted: the market line, which the hit count is measured against. Shaded: typical miss (past), ±1.6 around the projection. How far past projections landed on average, not a range for this game.

Current through Oct 12 · ● landed over · ○ did not

Full game log
Blake Corum receptions by game
DateOpponentREC
Oct 12vs BUF3
Oct 4@ PHI1
Sep 27@ DEN2
Sep 21vs NYG1
Sep 10vs SF0
Jan 4vs ARI · 20251
Dec 29@ ATL · 20250
Dec 18@ SEA · 20251
Dec 14vs DET · 20250
Dec 7@ ARI · 20251

Blake Corum’s last 5 games on one page

This matchup

The rest of ARI vs LA
Opponent
ARI
Kickoff
Sun, Oct 18, 4:05 PM ET
Availability
Injury reports: not on StatIQ for NFL yet
Opponent defense
ARI allowed the 16th-most receptions to RBs in 2025 4.3/game · 16th of 32
Against ARI
1 a game 2 previous meetings · small sample

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Receptions · Blake Corum

Receptions · line 1.5 · each book’s price for both sides. “Best” is the best among eligible books on that side, not a pick.

BookOver 1.5Under 1.5
Bally BetOct 16, 7:08 AM ET+130–
betPARXOct 16, 7:11 AM ET+135Best−180
BetRiversOct 16, 7:11 AM ET+135Best–
DraftKingsOct 16, 7:11 AM ET+124−159Best
ESPN BETOct 16, 7:11 AM ET+130−170
FanDuelOct 16, 7:11 AM ET+134−180
Hard Rock BetOct 16, 7:11 AM ET+135Best−180
Hardrockbet FlOct 16, 7:10 AM ET+135Best−180
Shown, never used as our price
FliffOct 16, 7:11 AM ET+130−190

Eligible books quote this line and can be marked Best. Offshore, sweepstakes and pick’em rows, and any price at a different line, are shown but not eligible for Best.

Prices as of Oct 16, 7:11 AM ET.

About these books

Sweepstakes. Sweepstakes, not cash betting. This number is priced in promotional currency with playthrough and redemption limits, so it is worth less than the same number at a cash book. We never count it as a best price.

Research

Ask Explorer about Blake Corum

Questions to ask Explorer about Blake Corum, answered here:

Model accuracy

NFL reception model · 146 graded projections

1.6average miss (mean absolute error)

74 of 146 within 1.5

01.520
74 of 146 landed within 1.5 (shaded) · one dot per completed projection

Neither number is a range for this game.

See the 2026 NFL forward test

How this is calculated

StatIQ projects Blake Corum for 1.5 receptions against ARI in Week 6. One number, not a range or a promised outcome. For context, Blake Corum has averaged 1.4 over his last 5 games, 1.4 per game this season (2026), and 1 across 2 games against ARI; the model is not recomputed from those averages.

Projection
StatIQ’s single number for Blake Corum’s receptions in this game: not a range and not a pick.
Line
The market’s number for the same stat (consensus across books), shown so you can compare.
Gap
Projection minus the line (0.0 here). A difference, never an edge.
Average miss
The average miss is the average distance between our receptions projection and the actual result, over 146 completed projections across all players this season.
Actual
Blake Corum’s box-score result in each regular-season game (via ESPN): the bars in the chart.

Common questions

What is StatIQ's receptions projection for Blake Corum vs ARI?

StatIQ projects Blake Corum for 1.5 receptions against ARI in Week 6. It is the model's single-number projection (not a range or a guaranteed outcome) with the full game log on the page so you can weigh it yourself.

How has Blake Corum performed in receptions recently?

Blake Corum has averaged 1.4 over his last 5 games, 1.4 per game this season (2026), and 1 across 2 games against ARI. That is context to weigh the projection against. The model is not recomputed from these averages.

How many receptions did Blake Corum have in his last game?

Blake Corum had 3 receptions in his most recent game vs BUF. The full game log on the page has the rest.

How accurate are StatIQ's receptions projections?

Across 146 completed receptions projections, StatIQ has landed within 1.6 of the actual result on average. That is the track record behind this number.

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