Receiving Yards · Week 6
Projection only
16.1Projection · receiving yards
7.5Line · consensus
+8.6Gap
Average · last 5 games 14.6
Average miss 22.8 yards · NFL receiving-yard model · 145 graded projections · Updated Oct 16
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Projections & lines
Measured, not bet
NFL projections are graded against the result, never bet: no NFL play is logged at a price.
| Market | Projection | Line | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Receiving Yards | 16.1 | 7.5 | +8.6 |
| Rushing Yards | 31.4 | 43.5 | −12.2 |
| Rush + Rec Yards | 54.7 | 55.5 | −0.8 |
| Receptions | 1.5 | 1.5 | 0.0 |
Recent receiving yards
9.9Average receiving yards, last 10 (10 games)Over 7.5 in 4 of 10 · past results, not odds
Current through Oct 12 · ● landed over · ○ did not
Full game log
| Date | Opponent | REC YDS |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 12 | vs BUF | 53 |
| Oct 4 | @ PHI | 7 |
| Sep 27 | @ DEN | 0 |
| Sep 21 | vs NYG | 13 |
| Sep 10 | vs SF | 0 |
| Jan 4 | vs ARI · 2025 | 10 |
| Dec 29 | @ ATL · 2025 | 0 |
| Dec 18 | @ SEA · 2025 | 13 |
| Dec 14 | vs DET · 2025 | 0 |
| Dec 7 | @ ARI · 2025 | 3 |
This matchup
- Opponent
- ARI
- Kickoff
- Sun, Oct 18, 4:05 PM ET
- Availability
- Injury reports: not on StatIQ for NFL yet
- Opponent defense
- ARI allowed the 11th-most receiving yards to RBs in 2025 34.2 yards/game · 11th of 32
- Against ARI
- 6.5 yards a game 2 previous meetings · small sample
Compare prices
Receiving Yards · line 7.5 · each book’s price for both sides. “Best” is the best among eligible books on that side, not a pick.
| Book | Over 7.5 | Under 7.5 |
|---|---|---|
| Bally BetOct 16, 7:08 AM ET | −120 | – |
| betPARXOct 16, 7:11 AM ET | −113 | −115 |
| BetRiversOct 16, 7:11 AM ET | −114 | −115 |
| DraftKingsOct 16, 7:11 AM ET | −108Best | −116 |
| ESPN BETOct 16, 7:11 AM ET | −110 | −120 |
| FanDuelOct 16, 7:11 AM ET | −114 | −114 |
| Hard Rock BetOct 16, 7:11 AM ET | −120 | −110Best |
| Hardrockbet FlOct 16, 7:10 AM ET | −120 | −110Best |
| Shown, never used as our price | ||
| FliffOct 16, 7:11 AM ET | −120 | −125 |
Eligible books quote this line and can be marked Best. Offshore, sweepstakes and pick’em rows, and any price at a different line, are shown but not eligible for Best.
Prices as of Oct 16, 7:11 AM ET.
About these books
Sweepstakes. Sweepstakes, not cash betting. This number is priced in promotional currency with playthrough and redemption limits, so it is worth less than the same number at a cash book. We never count it as a best price.
Research
Questions to ask Explorer about Blake Corum, answered here:
Model accuracy
NFL receiving-yard model · 145 graded projections
22.8 yardsaverage miss (mean absolute error)
90 of 145 within 25 yards
Neither number is a range for this game.
How this is calculated
StatIQ projects Blake Corum for 16.1 receiving yards against ARI in Week 6. One number, not a range or a promised outcome. For context, Blake Corum has averaged 14.6 yards over his last 5 games, 14.6 yards per game this season (2026), and 6.5 yards across 2 games against ARI; the model is not recomputed from those averages.
- Projection
- StatIQ’s single number for Blake Corum’s receiving yards in this game: not a range and not a pick.
- Line
- The market’s number for the same stat (consensus across books), shown so you can compare.
- Gap
- Projection minus the line (+8.6 here). A difference, never an edge.
- Average miss
- The average miss is the average distance between our receiving yards projection and the actual result, over 145 completed projections across all players this season.
- Actual
- Blake Corum’s box-score result in each regular-season game (via ESPN): the bars in the chart.
Common questions
What is StatIQ's receiving yards projection for Blake Corum vs ARI?
StatIQ projects Blake Corum for 16.1 yards receiving yards against ARI in Week 6. It is the model's single-number projection (not a range or a guaranteed outcome) with the full game log on the page so you can weigh it yourself.
How has Blake Corum performed in receiving yards recently?
Blake Corum has averaged 14.6 yards over his last 5 games, 14.6 yards per game this season (2026), and 6.5 yards across 2 games against ARI. That is context to weigh the projection against. The model is not recomputed from these averages.
How many receiving yards did Blake Corum have in his last game?
Blake Corum had 53 yards receiving yards in his most recent game vs BUF. The full game log on the page has the rest.
How accurate are StatIQ's receiving yards projections?
Across 145 completed receiving yards projections, StatIQ has landed within 22.8 yards of the actual result on average. That is the track record behind this number.
Next
The rest of ARI vs LA
280.6Projection · pass yds
202.2Projection · pass yds
107.7Projection · rush+rec
103.3Projection · rec yds
69.9Projection · rec yds
61.7Projection · rec yds
61.3Projection · rec yds
51.4Projection · rush yds