
Troy Melton
Detroit Tigers · SP · MLB — projections, accuracy, and the game log to decide for yourself.
Game log & hit rates — filter it yourself
How often Outs Recorded cleared the over 15 — pick a split:
7/1070% cleared overavg 16.7
09-14@ TOR8✗
09-07vs MIN17✓
09-01@ MIN16✓
08-26vs TB21✓
08-22@ KC17✓
08-15vs CHW13✗
08-09@ SF18✓
08-05@ SEA21✓
07-28vs BAL21✓
07-23vs KC15✗
Trailing results, not a forecast — shown beside our projection, never instead of it. Game log via ESPN.
Tonight’s projections
Outs Recorded16.5 we project
Strikeouts3.9 we project
Projection accuracy — every projection we’ve logged
No graded projections yet.
Every projection logged before tip and checked against the box score — never deleted. This is accuracy, not a betting record.
Full game log — via ESPN
| Date | Opp | Result | IP | H | R | ER | HR | BB | K | GB | FB | P | TBF | GSC | Dec | Rel | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-14 | @ TOR | W 6-5 | 2.2 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 4 | 76 | 17 | 39.0 | - | - | 2.52 |
| 09-07 | vs MIN | W 5-4 | 5.2 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 15 | 91 | 27 | 41.0 | W(8-4) | - | 2.42 |
| 09-01 | @ MIN | L 15-2 | 5.1 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 14 | 96 | 25 | 35.0 | L(7-4) | - | 2.20 |
| 08-26 | vs TB | L 3-0 | 7.0 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 10 | 84 | 27 | 55.0 | L(7-3) | - | 1.86 |
| 08-22 | @ KC | L 5-2 | 5.2 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 10 | 94 | 26 | 43.0 | L(7-2) | - | 1.70 |
| 08-15 | vs CHW | L 4-3 | 4.1 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 10 | 7 | 87 | 22 | 42.0 | - | - | 1.49 |
| 08-09 | @ SF | W 3-1 F/10 | 6.0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 13 | 92 | 22 | 66.0 | - | - | 1.46 |
| 08-05 | @ SEA | W 8-0 | 7.0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 12 | 97 | 25 | 73.0 | W(7-1) | - | 1.58 |
| 07-28 | vs BAL | W 14-0 | 7.0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 9 | 92 | 24 | 74.0 | W(6-1) | - | 1.75 |
| 07-23 | vs KC | W 4-3 | 5.0 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 90 | 24 | 50.0 | - | - | 1.95 |
| 07-18 | @ LAA | W 2-1 | 5.2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 9 | 5 | 5 | 94 | 23 | 62.0 | - | - | 1.80 |
| 07-08 | vs ATH | W 6-1 | 5.1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 7 | 5 | 91 | 22 | 66.0 | W(5-1) | - | 1.82 |
| 07-01 | @ NYY | W 6-2 F/11 | 6.1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 10 | 4 | 84 | 22 | 75.0 | - | - | 2.05 |
| 06-25 | vs HOU | L 2-1 | 6.0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 13 | 88 | 20 | 70.0 | L(4-1) | - | 2.39 |
| 06-20 | vs CHW | W 4-1 | 6.0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 8 | 84 | 23 | 68.0 | W(4-0) | - | 2.56 |
| 06-09 | vs MIN | W 10-4 | 5.0 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 9 | 8 | 88 | 23 | 40.0 | W(3-0) | - | 2.81 |
| 06-03 | @ TB | W 7-2 | 8.0 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 11 | 11 | 94 | 29 | 69.0 | W(2-0) | - | 1.74 |
| 05-29 | @ CHW | L 4-3 F/10 | 7.0 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 15 | 89 | 28 | 61.0 | - | - | 1.42 |
| 05-24 | @ BAL | W 4-1 | 5.2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 79 | 22 | 61.0 | W(1-0) | - | 1.59 |