
Ben Malgeri
Detroit Tigers · RF · MLB — projections, accuracy, and the game log to decide for yourself.
Game log & hit rates — filter it yourself
How often Hits cleared the under 0.5 — pick a split:
8/1080% cleared underavg 0.4
09-19@ CHW0✓
09-18@ CHW0✓
09-17@ CHW0✓
09-15@ TOR1✗
09-12vs COL0✓
09-09vs MIN0✓
09-08vs MIN0✓
09-07vs MIN0✓
09-06@ CLE0✓
09-05@ CLE3✗
Trailing results, not a forecast — shown beside our projection, never instead of it. Game log via ESPN.
Tonight’s projections
Hits0.5 we project
Home Runs0.0 we project
RBIs0.3 we project
Total Bases0.6 we project
Projection accuracy — every projection we’ve logged
Marketnavg missbiaswithinlast 10
Hits8———±0.8
Total Bases2———±0.8
Every projection logged before tip and checked against the box score — never deleted. This is accuracy, not a betting record.
Predicted vs actual — recent
DateMarketWe saidActualMiss
09-06Total Bases0.70+0.7
09-05Hits0.43−2.6
09-04Hits0.51−0.5
09-01Hits0.31−0.7
08-25Hits0.40+0.4
08-23Total Bases1.00+1.0
08-21Hits0.50+0.5
08-15Hits0.50+0.5
08-13Hits0.51−0.5
08-12Hits0.50+0.5
Full game log — via ESPN
| Date | Opp | Result | AB | R | H | 2B | 3B | HR | RBI | BB | HBP | SO | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-19 | @ CHW | L 3-1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | .231 | .347 | .346 | .693 |
| 09-18 | @ CHW | W 11-8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .235 | .342 | .353 | .695 |
| 09-17 | @ CHW | L 3-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .238 | .345 | .356 | .701 |
| 09-15 | @ TOR | W 10-1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .240 | .347 | .360 | .707 |
| 09-12 | vs COL | W 11-7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | .232 | .342 | .354 | .695 |
| 09-09 | vs MIN | W 7-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | .235 | .339 | .357 | .696 |
| 09-08 | vs MIN | L 3-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | .245 | .351 | .372 | .724 |
| 09-07 | vs MIN | W 5-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | .247 | .349 | .376 | .725 |
| 09-06 | @ CLE | L 3-2 F/10 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | .250 | .352 | .380 | .732 |
| 09-05 | @ CLE | W 6-0 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | .258 | .356 | .393 | .749 |
| 09-04 | @ CLE | L 4-3 F/10 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .238 | .343 | .369 | .712 |
| 09-04 | @ CLE | L 7-6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | .244 | .344 | .378 | .722 |
| 09-02 | @ MIN | W 11-6 F/12 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | .244 | .348 | .385 | .732 |
| 09-01 | @ MIN | L 15-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .230 | .341 | .378 | .719 |
| 08-29 | vs LAD | W 2-1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | .222 | .337 | .375 | .712 |
| 08-28 | vs LAD | L 2-1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | .229 | .345 | .386 | .731 |
| 08-25 | vs TB | W 4-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .242 | .363 | .409 | .772 |
| 08-24 | vs TB | L 4-1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | .242 | .363 | .409 | .772 |
| 08-23 | @ KC | L 11-7 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | .234 | .359 | .406 | .765 |
| 08-22 | @ KC | L 5-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .250 | .370 | .433 | .803 |