StatIQNFL projections — with the receipts
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Payton Tolle

Boston Red Sox · SP · MLB — projections, accuracy, and the game log to decide for yourself.

Game log & hit rates — filter it yourself

How often Outs Recorded cleared the over 14.5 — pick a split:

10/10100% cleared overavg 17.7
09-13vs KC18
09-06@ BAL18
08-31vs SEA17
08-25@ MIA16
08-19vs ARI15
08-13@ TOR24
08-07vs ATH18
08-02@ LAD18
07-28@ ATH16
07-20vs BAL17

Trailing results, not a forecast — shown beside our projection, never instead of it. Game log via ESPN.

Tonight’s projections

Outs Recorded16.9 we project
Strikeouts7.2 we project

Projection accuracy — every projection we’ve logged

No graded projections yet.

Every projection logged before tip and checked against the box score — never deleted. This is accuracy, not a betting record.

Full game log — via ESPN

DateOppResultIPHRERHRBBKGBFBPTBFGSCDecRelERA
09-13vs KCW 4-16.040001778962470.0--3.02
09-06@ BALW 3-16.0411001236912172.0W(9-6)-3.15
08-31vs SEAW 9-8 F/105.264412688962545.0--3.23
08-25@ MIAW 7-3 F/115.142212749972257.0--3.09
08-19vs ARIL 7-6 F/105.0633026410982247.0--3.08
08-13@ TORW 7-08.0200024713912680.0W(8-6)-2.97
08-07vs ATHW 13-16.0211101433842078.0W(7-6)-3.20
08-02@ LADW 3-26.0922127710882651.0--3.30
07-28@ ATHW 4-25.152221786902256.0W(6-6)-3.32
07-20vs BALW 6-55.284411987882645.0--3.31
07-12@ NYMW 3-2 F/103.231101725661557.0--3.11
07-07@ CHWW 8-16.0200016410912173.0W(5-6)-3.14
07-01vs WSHL 10-23.076623548762023.0L(4-6)-3.39
06-26vs NYYW 6-17.0100027312882480.0W(4-5)-2.78
06-21@ SEAL 3-16.06331221011792548.0L(3-5)-3.08
06-16vs TORL 6-15.043322649902151.0L(3-4)-2.93
06-09@ TBL 4-36.0944013914942840.0L(3-3)-2.70
06-03vs BALW 8-16.0700025712992661.0W(3-2)-2.28
05-28vs ATLL 10-24.252202757942151.0--2.61
05-22vs MINL 8-66.043302968852559.0--2.45