
Payton Tolle
Boston Red Sox · SP · MLB — projections, accuracy, and the game log to decide for yourself.
Game log & hit rates — filter it yourself
How often Outs Recorded cleared the over 14.5 — pick a split:
10/10100% cleared overavg 17.7
09-13vs KC18✓
09-06@ BAL18✓
08-31vs SEA17✓
08-25@ MIA16✓
08-19vs ARI15✓
08-13@ TOR24✓
08-07vs ATH18✓
08-02@ LAD18✓
07-28@ ATH16✓
07-20vs BAL17✓
Trailing results, not a forecast — shown beside our projection, never instead of it. Game log via ESPN.
Tonight’s projections
Outs Recorded16.9 we project
Strikeouts7.2 we project
Projection accuracy — every projection we’ve logged
No graded projections yet.
Every projection logged before tip and checked against the box score — never deleted. This is accuracy, not a betting record.
Full game log — via ESPN
| Date | Opp | Result | IP | H | R | ER | HR | BB | K | GB | FB | P | TBF | GSC | Dec | Rel | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-13 | vs KC | W 4-1 | 6.0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 7 | 8 | 96 | 24 | 70.0 | - | - | 3.02 |
| 09-06 | @ BAL | W 3-1 | 6.0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 3 | 6 | 91 | 21 | 72.0 | W(9-6) | - | 3.15 |
| 08-31 | vs SEA | W 9-8 F/10 | 5.2 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 8 | 96 | 25 | 45.0 | - | - | 3.23 |
| 08-25 | @ MIA | W 7-3 F/11 | 5.1 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 4 | 9 | 97 | 22 | 57.0 | - | - | 3.09 |
| 08-19 | vs ARI | L 7-6 F/10 | 5.0 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 10 | 98 | 22 | 47.0 | - | - | 3.08 |
| 08-13 | @ TOR | W 7-0 | 8.0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 13 | 91 | 26 | 80.0 | W(8-6) | - | 2.97 |
| 08-07 | vs ATH | W 13-1 | 6.0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 3 | 3 | 84 | 20 | 78.0 | W(7-6) | - | 3.20 |
| 08-02 | @ LAD | W 3-2 | 6.0 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 10 | 88 | 26 | 51.0 | - | - | 3.30 |
| 07-28 | @ ATH | W 4-2 | 5.1 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 8 | 6 | 90 | 22 | 56.0 | W(6-6) | - | 3.32 |
| 07-20 | vs BAL | W 6-5 | 5.2 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 8 | 7 | 88 | 26 | 45.0 | - | - | 3.31 |
| 07-12 | @ NYM | W 3-2 F/10 | 3.2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 66 | 15 | 57.0 | - | - | 3.11 |
| 07-07 | @ CHW | W 8-1 | 6.0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 10 | 91 | 21 | 73.0 | W(5-6) | - | 3.14 |
| 07-01 | vs WSH | L 10-2 | 3.0 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 76 | 20 | 23.0 | L(4-6) | - | 3.39 |
| 06-26 | vs NYY | W 6-1 | 7.0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 3 | 12 | 88 | 24 | 80.0 | W(4-5) | - | 2.78 |
| 06-21 | @ SEA | L 3-1 | 6.0 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 11 | 79 | 25 | 48.0 | L(3-5) | - | 3.08 |
| 06-16 | vs TOR | L 6-1 | 5.0 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 9 | 90 | 21 | 51.0 | L(3-4) | - | 2.93 |
| 06-09 | @ TB | L 4-3 | 6.0 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 14 | 94 | 28 | 40.0 | L(3-3) | - | 2.70 |
| 06-03 | vs BAL | W 8-1 | 6.0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 12 | 99 | 26 | 61.0 | W(3-2) | - | 2.28 |
| 05-28 | vs ATL | L 10-2 | 4.2 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 94 | 21 | 51.0 | - | - | 2.61 |
| 05-22 | vs MIN | L 8-6 | 6.0 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 6 | 8 | 85 | 25 | 59.0 | - | - | 2.45 |