StatIQNFL projections — with the receipts
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Adley Rutschman

Boston Red Sox · C · MLB — projections, accuracy, and the game log to decide for yourself.

Game log & hit rates — filter it yourself

How often Hits cleared the over 0.5 — pick a split:

7/1070% cleared overavg 0.8
09-20@ TB1
09-19@ TB1
09-18@ TEX1
09-17@ TEX0
09-16@ TEX0
09-13vs KC1
09-12vs KC2
09-11vs KC0
09-07vs LAA1
09-06@ BAL1

Trailing results, not a forecast — shown beside our projection, never instead of it. Game log via ESPN.

Tonight’s projections

Hits0.9 we project
Home Runs0.2 we project
RBIs0.5 we project
Total Bases1.6 we project

Projection accuracy — every projection we’ve logged

Marketnavg missbiaswithinlast 10
Hits1±0.8
Total Bases1±1.1

Every projection logged before tip and checked against the box score — never deleted. This is accuracy, not a betting record.

Predicted vs actual — recent

DateMarketWe saidActualMiss
09-15Hits0.80+0.8
08-23Total Bases1.10+1.1

Full game log — via ESPN

DateOppResultABRH2B3BHRRBIBBHBPSOSBCSAVGOBPSLGOPS
09-20@ TBL 5-1401000000100.234.309.413.723
09-19@ TBL 2-1401100000100.234.310.415.725
09-18@ TEXW 4-3401100000100.234.311.414.725
09-17@ TEXL 7-3400000000000.234.311.413.725
09-16@ TEXL 4-2400000000000.236.315.418.733
09-13vs KCW 4-1411100000000.239.318.423.741
09-12vs KCW 5-1412000100100.239.319.422.741
09-11vs KCL 3-2210000020100.236.317.421.738
09-07vs LAAW 5-2411001300100.237.315.424.739
09-06@ BALW 3-1401100000100.237.315.417.732
09-04@ BALW 1-0400000000200.237.316.416.732
09-03@ BALW 6-5432002200000.240.320.421.741
08-30@ NYYL 16-1400000000100.237.318.400.718
08-29@ NYYW 6-0423000000000.240.322.405.727
08-28@ NYYL 1-0400000000200.233.316.401.717
08-24@ MIAW 4-2500000000100.236.320.406.726
08-23vs SFW 5-4100000000000.240.325.413.739
08-22vs SFW 3-2400000000100.241.326.415.741
08-21vs SFW 6-4411000000100.245.330.421.751
08-19vs ARIL 7-6 F/10100000000000.245.331.423.755