StatIQNFL projections — with the receipts
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Logan Gilbert

Seattle Mariners · SP · MLB — projections, accuracy, and the game log to decide for yourself.

Game log & hit rates — filter it yourself

How often Outs Recorded cleared the under 18.5 — pick a split:

7/1070% cleared underavg 17.4
09-16@ LAA18
09-10vs TEX21
09-05vs ATH14
08-30@ TOR15
08-25vs PHI15
08-19@ MIL15
08-13@ NYY18
08-08vs TB20
08-01vs MIN21
07-26@ TEX17

Trailing results, not a forecast — shown beside our projection, never instead of it. Game log via ESPN.

Tonight’s projections

Outs Recorded17.1 we project
Strikeouts7.0 we project

Projection accuracy — every projection we’ve logged

No graded projections yet.

Every projection logged before tip and checked against the box score — never deleted. This is accuracy, not a betting record.

Full game log — via ESPN

DateOppResultIPHRERHRBBKGBFBPTBFGSCDecRelERA
09-16@ LAAL 2-16.062212789962757.0L(12-10)-3.69
09-10vs TEXW 4-37.03331211831002568.0W(12-9)-3.72
09-05vs ATHL 7-64.2877421029992328.0L(11-9)-3.71
08-30@ TORL 7-05.063311498872246.0L(11-8)-3.42
08-25vs PHIW 9-25.05221253121022252.0W(11-7)-3.36
08-19@ MILW 7-55.0433145681002348.0W(10-7)-3.35
08-13@ NYYW 1-06.0400017311952270.0W(9-7)-3.28
08-08vs TBL 2-16.2422246611952760.0L(8-7)-3.42
08-01vs MINW 4-37.0533216136962660.0--3.46
07-26@ TEXW 6-45.2533024810932449.0--3.44
07-19vs SFW 6-36.0433111075952361.0W(8-6)-3.38
07-11@ TBL 6-16.2944025815963043.0L(7-6)-3.32
07-04vs TORW 11-07.1100007610912383.0W(7-5)-3.19
06-27@ CLEL 4-37.074400711101032854.0L(6-5)-3.42
06-21vs BOSW 3-16.131112866942269.0W(6-4)-3.29
06-17vs BALW 3-17.02110110112942578.0W(5-4)-3.43
06-09@ BALW 6-5 F/106.03110255111052365.0--3.62
06-03vs NYMW 8-35.143321839992255.0W(4-4)-3.79
05-27@ ATHW 9-16.0500026511912466.0W(3-4)-3.69
05-22@ KCW 2-05.2200026310942169.0--4.04