StatIQNFL projections — with the receipts
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Sabrina Ionescu

New York Liberty · G · WNBA — projections, accuracy, and the game log to decide for yourself.

Game log & hit rates — filter it yourself

How often Assists cleared the under 4.5 — pick a split:

5/1050% cleared underavg 5.6
09-20@ TOR9
09-18@ MIN6
08-29vs CHI4
08-28vs GS4
08-22vs IND4
08-19@ CHI12
08-14vs LA4
08-11@ IND5
08-09vs LV2
08-05vs SEA6

Trailing results, not a forecast — shown beside our projection, never instead of it. Game log via ESPN.

Tonight’s projections

Assists4.0 we project
Points13.7 we project
Pts+Reb+Ast21.6 we project
Rebounds3.5 we project
3-Pointers Made1.6 we project

Projection accuracy — every projection we’ve logged

Marketnavg missbiaswithinlast 10
Assists6±2
Rebounds2±0.9
Points1±13.6

Every projection logged before tip and checked against the box score — never deleted. This is accuracy, not a betting record.

Predicted vs actual — recent

DateMarketWe saidActualMiss
09-20Assists4.49−4.6
09-18Assists3.66−2.4
08-29Points15.62+13.6
08-27Rebounds3.42+1.4
08-22Rebounds3.53+0.5
08-13Assists4.24+0.2
08-11Assists4.15−0.9
08-09Assists4.32+2.3
08-05Assists4.26−1.8

Full game log — via ESPN

DateOppResultMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOFGFG%3PT3P%FTFT%PF
09-20@ TORW 106-69226392031-812.51-425.03-475.01
09-18@ MINW 93-813017363046-1540.03-933.32-366.73
08-29vs CHIW 85-66232540110-100.00-30.02-2100.00
08-28vs GSL 79-60297240122-1216.71-911.12-2100.01
08-22vs INDW 109-1023212340155-1145.51-520.01-250.02
08-19@ CHIL 93-8634187121147-1741.22-1020.02-2100.01
08-14vs LAW 85-813320342046-1735.31-911.17-977.83
08-11@ INDL 106-922819452057-1163.61-520.04-4100.01
08-09vs LVW 111-71215320022-1020.01-616.70-00.02
08-05vs SEAW 92-863115562004-1428.61-616.76-6100.02
08-03vs SEAW 95-832918250057-1070.04-666.70-00.04
08-01@ PHXW 94-9235277101039-1947.44-1040.05-5100.03
07-31@ LVL 104-992915450034-757.11-425.06-785.72
07-29@ LAW 113-1093627760079-1656.35-955.64-4100.01
07-22vs CHIW 95-943529440148-1172.75-771.48-8100.01
07-21@ DALW 99-98 OT3621420118-2532.02-1020.03-3100.01
07-19@ INDL 108-883412141014-944.42-450.02-450.02
07-12@ TORL 93-913328483019-1850.03-742.97-887.53
07-11@ MINL 90-853525852039-2045.03-1225.04-4100.00
07-08vs DALL 88-773314350145-1533.32-728.62-2100.03