StatIQNFL projections — with the receipts
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Breanna Stewart

New York Liberty · F · WNBA — projections, accuracy, and the game log to decide for yourself.

Game log & hit rates — filter it yourself

How often Assists cleared the under 3.5 — pick a split:

4/1040% cleared underavg 3.7
09-20@ TOR4
09-18@ MIN4
08-29vs CHI1
08-28vs GS2
08-22vs IND7
08-19@ CHI3
08-15@ CON2
08-14vs LA5
08-11@ IND5
08-09vs LV4

Trailing results, not a forecast — shown beside our projection, never instead of it. Game log via ESPN.

Tonight’s projections

Assists2.9 we project
Points19.8 we project
Pts+Reb+Ast31.1 we project
Rebounds7.8 we project
3-Pointers Made0.6 we project

Projection accuracy — every projection we’ve logged

Marketnavg missbiaswithinlast 10
Rebounds5±0.6
Points4±7.4
Assists2±1.4

Every projection logged before tip and checked against the box score — never deleted. This is accuracy, not a betting record.

Predicted vs actual — recent

DateMarketWe saidActualMiss
09-18Assists2.54−1.5
08-29Points20.813+7.8
08-27Rebounds7.16+1.1
08-22Rebounds7.68−0.4
08-18Rebounds7.67+0.6
08-15Points21.511+10.5
08-13Points22.311+11.3
08-11Rebounds7.47+0.4
08-09Assists2.84−1.2
07-18Rebounds8.58+0.5

Full game log — via ESPN

DateOppResultMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOFGFG%3PT3P%FTFT%PF
09-20@ TORW 106-6922278421110-1471.40-20.07-7100.02
09-18@ MINW 93-8138241043008-1747.12-366.76-875.00
08-29vs CHIW 85-662713912214-1136.40-20.05-5100.01
08-28vs GSL 79-603316620104-1040.00-10.08-1080.01
08-22vs INDW 109-1023522872118-1650.00-40.06-875.02
08-19@ CHIL 93-863522733128-1361.51-333.35-683.33
08-15@ CONW 82-753311421143-1225.01-250.04-4100.01
08-14vs LAW 85-813111652025-1338.50-30.01-250.02
08-11@ INDL 106-923019751008-2138.11-520.02-2100.02
08-09vs LVW 111-712314441114-1040.00-00.06-875.00
08-05vs SEAW 92-8633288201112-2254.51-425.03-475.02
08-03vs SEAW 95-833124860208-1650.00-40.08-988.93
08-01@ PHXW 94-9234141120224-1040.00-10.06-6100.01
07-31@ LVL 104-99372611131210-2050.01-1100.05-862.52
07-29@ LAW 113-10937294743111-1957.92-450.05-683.30
07-26vs SPOL 129-1222861370103-742.90-40.00-00.01
07-22vs CHIW 95-943720940335-1926.32-450.08-8100.05
07-21@ DALW 99-98 OT423313802110-1952.62-450.011-1291.71
07-19@ INDL 108-8832268313410-1662.52-450.04-944.44
07-12@ TORL 93-913422822118-2138.10-30.06-6100.01