StatIQNFL projections — with the receipts
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Paige Bueckers

Dallas Wings · G · WNBA — projections, accuracy, and the game log to decide for yourself.

Game log & hit rates — filter it yourself

How often Assists cleared the under 5.5 — pick a split:

4/1040% cleared underavg 6.2
09-19vs PHX5
09-18vs LA3
08-31vs CON6
08-26vs POR11
08-23vs SEA4
08-21vs IND8
08-18@ GS3
08-14@ IND6
08-13vs TOR8
08-09@ MIN8

Trailing results, not a forecast — shown beside our projection, never instead of it. Game log via ESPN.

Tonight’s projections

Assists5.0 we project
Points21.8 we project
Pts+Reb+Ast31.3 we project
Rebounds4.6 we project
3-Pointers Made1.8 we project

Projection accuracy — every projection we’ve logged

Marketnavg missbiaswithinlast 10
Assists4±1.2
Points4±5.1
3-Pointers Made2±0.3
Rebounds2±2.1

Every projection logged before tip and checked against the box score — never deleted. This is accuracy, not a betting record.

Predicted vs actual — recent

DateMarketWe saidActualMiss
09-19Assists4.95−0.1
09-173-Pointers Made1.21+0.2
08-30Assists5.56−0.5
08-25Points22.222+0.2
08-23Points21.632−10.4
08-20Rebounds4.36−1.8
08-17Rebounds4.42+2.4
08-14Points22.329−6.7
08-12Assists5.98−2.1
08-09Assists5.88−2.2

Full game log — via ESPN

DateOppResultMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOFGFG%3PT3P%FTFT%PF
09-19vs PHXW 87-8231264531310-1952.65-955.61-333.32
09-18vs LAW 97-772619632048-1361.51-520.02-2100.02
08-31vs CONW 97-712515261016-1346.21-333.32-2100.01
08-26vs PORW 96-7833224112118-1553.33-742.93-3100.03
08-23vs SEAW 92-7026324410312-1675.06-6100.02-2100.01
08-21vs INDW 91-853513680005-1631.30-20.03-475.04
08-18@ GSL 78-703321231078-1844.41-520.04-4100.04
08-14@ INDL 98-8737296620211-2152.42-633.35-5100.02
08-13vs TORW 94-883422383017-1838.91-520.07-7100.04
08-09@ MINL 103-9031234830610-1566.71-333.32-2100.02
08-08vs GSL 94-762917111026-1250.02-450.03-475.01
08-05@ WSHL 96-923717540206-1540.03-650.02-2100.04
08-02vs CONW 83-63256340013-933.30-10.00-00.01
07-31@ WSHL 81-753423520109-1850.02-540.03-3100.00
07-30vs ATLL 82-813716461156-1154.51-520.03-560.04
07-26vs SPOL 129-1222512071015-1145.52-728.60-00.00
07-23@ PORW 101-973721450037-1741.24-757.13-560.02
07-19vs LAW 90-8232254500410-1855.62-450.03-3100.02
07-12vs CHIW 96-9136226110117-1546.71-333.37-887.54
07-10@ TORW 108-9538346620113-2259.12-540.06-6100.02