StatIQNFL projections — with the receipts
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Arike Ogunbowale

Dallas Wings · G · WNBA — projections, accuracy, and the game log to decide for yourself.

Game log & hit rates — filter it yourself

How often Assists cleared the under 3.5 — pick a split:

4/1040% cleared underavg 3.9
09-19vs PHX6
09-18vs LA4
08-31vs CON3
08-26vs POR4
08-23vs SEA6
08-21vs IND3
08-18@ GS3
08-14@ IND1
08-13vs TOR5
08-09@ MIN4

Trailing results, not a forecast — shown beside our projection, never instead of it. Game log via ESPN.

Tonight’s projections

Assists3.3 we project
Points16.8 we project
Pts+Reb+Ast23.9 we project
Rebounds3.2 we project
3-Pointers Made1.6 we project

Projection accuracy — every projection we’ve logged

Marketnavg missbiaswithinlast 10
Assists7±1.4
Points3±4.1
3-Pointers Made2±1
Rebounds2±0.2

Every projection logged before tip and checked against the box score — never deleted. This is accuracy, not a betting record.

Predicted vs actual — recent

DateMarketWe saidActualMiss
09-19Assists2.96−3.1
09-17Assists2.64−1.4
08-30Assists2.93−0.1
08-25Points16.617−0.4
08-23Points17.17+10.1
08-20Assists2.73−0.3
08-17Points15.217−1.8
08-143-Pointers Made1.50+1.5
08-12Assists2.85−2.2
08-09Assists2.74−1.3

Full game log — via ESPN

DateOppResultMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOFGFG%3PT3P%FTFT%PF
09-19vs PHXW 87-823722261108-1457.11-520.05-683.35
09-18vs LAW 97-772711342024-1136.41-714.32-2100.00
08-31vs CONW 97-712318430006-1250.03-560.03-3100.00
08-26vs PORW 96-783317242017-1450.03-742.90-00.03
08-23vs SEAW 92-70227261002-728.62-540.01-250.00
08-21vs INDW 91-8535322310312-2254.52-633.36-785.74
08-18@ GSL 78-703717432015-1338.51-714.36-6100.03
08-14@ INDL 98-873020610027-1643.80-50.06-785.74
08-13vs TORW 94-883521251054-1233.30-50.013-1492.93
08-09@ MINL 103-90285041042-450.01-250.00-00.01
08-08vs GSL 94-76275412032-1020.01-616.70-00.02
08-05@ WSHL 96-923315350024-1040.02-450.05-683.34
08-02vs CONW 83-632315551017-977.81-333.30-00.00
07-31@ WSHL 81-753120222137-1353.83-837.53-475.01
07-30vs ATLL 82-813824654039-1656.31-1100.05-5100.05
07-23@ PORW 101-973524360028-1266.73-560.05-683.33
07-21vs NYL 99-98 OT3829561019-2437.53-560.08-8100.04
07-19vs LAW 90-823120212027-1353.81-425.05-683.33
07-12vs CHIW 96-913017311016-1442.92-633.33-475.00
07-10@ TORW 108-953020370006-1154.51-333.37-7100.02