StatIQNFL projections — with the receipts
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Olivia Miles

Minnesota Lynx · G · WNBA — projections, accuracy, and the game log to decide for yourself.

Game log & hit rates — filter it yourself

How often Assists cleared the under 5.5 — pick a split:

3/1030% cleared underavg 6.5
09-20@ CON6
09-18vs NY5
08-30@ ATL0
08-25vs GS5
08-21@ WSH7
08-20@ GS7
08-16@ LV8
08-13@ POR7
08-09vs DAL13
08-08vs LV7

Trailing results, not a forecast — shown beside our projection, never instead of it. Game log via ESPN.

Tonight’s projections

Assists5.0 we project
Points20.4 we project
Pts+Reb+Ast29.8 we project
Rebounds4.5 we project
3-Pointers Made1.2 we project

Projection accuracy — every projection we’ve logged

Marketnavg missbiaswithinlast 10
Assists6±2.1
Points2±0.5
Rebounds2±2.3
Pts+Reb+Ast1±4.5

Every projection logged before tip and checked against the box score — never deleted. This is accuracy, not a betting record.

Predicted vs actual — recent

DateMarketWe saidActualMiss
09-20Points20.321−0.7
09-18Rebounds3.58−4.5
08-30Assists5.50+5.5
08-24Rebounds4.04−0.0
08-19Assists5.27−1.8
08-15Pts+Reb+Ast30.535−4.5
08-12Assists6.27−0.8
08-09Points20.320+0.3
08-08Assists5.27−1.8
08-06Assists5.05+0.0

Full game log — via ESPN

DateOppResultMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOFGFG%3PT3P%FTFT%PF
09-20@ CONW 101-893021362017-1070.01-333.36-6100.02
09-18vs NYL 93-813420852155-1827.80-30.010-1283.33
08-30@ ATLL 89-813021501027-1450.01-333.36-785.73
08-25vs GSL 80-66288450043-1225.01-520.01-250.01
08-21@ WSHW 94-8429243730210-2245.52-633.32-2100.05
08-20@ GSW 77-663020572228-1080.03-560.01-250.02
08-16@ LVW 92-873423481058-1553.33-837.54-4100.02
08-13@ PORW 85-813513570123-1323.11-333.36-785.75
08-09vs DALW 103-9034201131047-1258.35-862.51-250.02
08-08vs LVW 98-8735264710511-2347.83-742.91-1100.02
08-07vs LAL 89-823423852058-1650.03-650.04-4100.03
08-02vs INDW 108-10032284601311-1478.63-650.03-3100.05
07-31@ TORW 104-722316302006-1540.00-20.04-580.01
07-29vs TORW 100-933224681039-1752.94-580.02-2100.02
07-26@ COOPW 129-12224111282015-5100.01-1100.00-00.01
07-22@ SEAW 86-763113362035-1533.30-10.03-475.02
07-21@ SEAW 105-10236328810113-2454.21-425.05-5100.04
07-19vs PORW 101-9334144100425-1435.72-366.72-366.74
07-15vs LAW 96-872618453007-1450.01-425.03-475.03
07-14vs PHXW 104-10031333800510-1662.55-862.58-988.95