StatIQNFL projections — with the receipts

Josh Allen Projections

BUF · QB · #17
No injury designation — board data as of Oct 2, 2:13 AM
vs NE
Sun, Oct 4, 1:00 PM ET · Week 4
Compare
32.6rushing yards projected vs NE
Season average 38 · Last five 31.6
Updated Oct 1
Typically within 23.9 yards of the result
Recent rushing yards
01939587723HOU69DET22LACStatIQ projection 32.6
Tap a bar — or a row below — to link a number to its game.
DateOpponentRUSH YDS
Sep 27, 2026vs vs LAC22
Sep 18, 2026vs vs DET69
Sep 13, 2026@ @ HOU23
Splits are what he has actually done. The projection is pinned — it does not change when you switch splits.
Dig deeper into Josh Allen
Recent games, opponent history, third downs, injuries, comparisons, the exact plays — you decide.
How has Josh Allen done against NE?50.5 yards per game2 games vs NEExplore this question

Projection context: Josh Allen, 32.6 rushing yards

StatIQ projects Josh Allen for 32.6 rushing yards against NE in Week 4. It’s the model’s single-number projection — not a range or a guaranteed outcome — and the game log above is the actual history behind it, so you can judge the number yourself.

What we’re seeing, as supporting evidence rather than the reason the model landed on this number: Josh Allen has averaged 31.6 yards over his last 5 games, 38 yards per game this season (2026), and 50.5 yards across 2 games against NE. That’s the recent record to weigh the projection against — the model is not recomputed from these averages.

Across 169 completed rushing yards projections, StatIQ has landed within 23.9 yards of the actual result on average — the track record behind this number.

See Josh Allen’s last 5 games in full
StatIQ’s Rushing Yards track record
23.9yards
average projection miss
25 within
169 completed rushing yards projections across all players
See the 2026 forward test
This matchup
Opponent
NE
Kickoff
Sun, Oct 4, 1:00 PM ET
Status
No injury designation — board data as of Oct 2, 2:13 AM
Recent form
31.6 yards over the last 5
Common questions
What is StatIQ's rushing yards projection for Josh Allen vs NE?

StatIQ projects Josh Allen for 32.6 yards rushing yards against NE in Week 4. It is the model's single-number projection — not a range or a guaranteed outcome — with the full game log on the page so you can weigh it yourself.

How has Josh Allen performed in rushing yards recently?

Josh Allen has averaged 31.6 yards over his last 5 games, 38 yards per game this season (2026), and 50.5 yards across 2 games against NE. That is context to weigh the projection against — the model is not recomputed from these averages.

How accurate are StatIQ's rushing yards projections?

Across 169 completed rushing yards projections, StatIQ has landed within 23.9 yards of the actual result on average — the track record behind this number.

The rest of BUF vs NE
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