| Date | Opponent | RUSH YDS |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 27, 2026 | vs vs LAC | 22 |
| Sep 18, 2026 | vs vs DET | 69 |
| Sep 13, 2026 | @ @ HOU | 23 |
StatIQ projects Josh Allen for 32.6 rushing yards against NE in Week 4. It’s the model’s single-number projection — not a range or a guaranteed outcome — and the game log above is the actual history behind it, so you can judge the number yourself.
What we’re seeing, as supporting evidence rather than the reason the model landed on this number: Josh Allen has averaged 31.6 yards over his last 5 games, 38 yards per game this season (2026), and 50.5 yards across 2 games against NE. That’s the recent record to weigh the projection against — the model is not recomputed from these averages.
Across 169 completed rushing yards projections, StatIQ has landed within 23.9 yards of the actual result on average — the track record behind this number.
StatIQ projects Josh Allen for 32.6 yards rushing yards against NE in Week 4. It is the model's single-number projection — not a range or a guaranteed outcome — with the full game log on the page so you can weigh it yourself.
Josh Allen has averaged 31.6 yards over his last 5 games, 38 yards per game this season (2026), and 50.5 yards across 2 games against NE. That is context to weigh the projection against — the model is not recomputed from these averages.
Across 169 completed rushing yards projections, StatIQ has landed within 23.9 yards of the actual result on average — the track record behind this number.