StatIQNFL projections — with the receipts

Mack Hollins Projections

NE · WR · #13
No injury designation — board data as of Oct 2, 2:13 AM
vs BUF
Sun, Oct 4, 1:00 PM ET · Week 4
Compare
REC YDSREC
41.6receiving yards projected vs BUF
Season average 52 · Last five 53.2
Updated Oct 1
Typically within 22.4 yards of the result
Recent receiving yards
02449739751SEA18PIT87JAXStatIQ projection 41.6
Tap a bar — or a row below — to link a number to its game.
DateOpponentREC YDS
Sep 27, 2026@ @ JAX87
Sep 20, 2026vs vs PIT18
Sep 10, 2026@ @ SEA51
Splits are what he has actually done. The projection is pinned — it does not change when you switch splits.
Dig deeper into Mack Hollins
Recent games, opponent history, third downs, injuries, comparisons, the exact plays — you decide.
How has Mack Hollins done against BUF?20.5 yards per game2 games vs BUFExplore this question

Projection context: Mack Hollins, 41.6 receiving yards

StatIQ projects Mack Hollins for 41.6 receiving yards against BUF in Week 4. It’s the model’s single-number projection — not a range or a guaranteed outcome — and the game log above is the actual history behind it, so you can judge the number yourself.

What we’re seeing, as supporting evidence rather than the reason the model landed on this number: Mack Hollins has averaged 53.2 yards over his last 5 games, 52 yards per game this season (2026), and 20.5 yards across 2 games against BUF. That’s the recent record to weigh the projection against — the model is not recomputed from these averages.

Across 482 completed receiving yards projections, StatIQ has landed within 22.4 yards of the actual result on average — the track record behind this number.

See Mack Hollins’s last 5 games in full
StatIQ’s Receiving Yards track record
22.4yards
average projection miss
25 within
482 completed receiving yards projections across all players
See the 2026 forward test
This matchup
Opponent
BUF
Kickoff
Sun, Oct 4, 1:00 PM ET
Status
No injury designation — board data as of Oct 2, 2:13 AM
Recent form
53.2 yards over the last 5
Common questions
What is StatIQ's receiving yards projection for Mack Hollins vs BUF?

StatIQ projects Mack Hollins for 41.6 yards receiving yards against BUF in Week 4. It is the model's single-number projection — not a range or a guaranteed outcome — with the full game log on the page so you can weigh it yourself.

How has Mack Hollins performed in receiving yards recently?

Mack Hollins has averaged 53.2 yards over his last 5 games, 52 yards per game this season (2026), and 20.5 yards across 2 games against BUF. That is context to weigh the projection against — the model is not recomputed from these averages.

How accurate are StatIQ's receiving yards projections?

Across 482 completed receiving yards projections, StatIQ has landed within 22.4 yards of the actual result on average — the track record behind this number.

The rest of BUF vs NE
the whole game
See the full NFL slate
Mack Hollins Projections: Receiving Yards Today · StatIQ Sports