StatIQNFL projections — with the receipts

Dalton Kincaid Projections

BUF · TE · #86
No injury designation — board data as of Oct 2, 2:13 AM
vs NE
Sun, Oct 4, 1:00 PM ET · Week 4
Compare
REC YDSREC
48.9receiving yards projected vs NE
Season average 87.7 · Last five 62.2
Updated Oct 1
Typically within 22.4 yards of the result
Recent receiving yards
03673109146130HOU95DET38LACStatIQ projection 48.9
Tap a bar — or a row below — to link a number to its game.
DateOpponentREC YDS
Sep 27, 2026vs vs LAC38
Sep 18, 2026vs vs DET95
Sep 13, 2026@ @ HOU130
Splits are what he has actually done. The projection is pinned — it does not change when you switch splits.
Dig deeper into Dalton Kincaid
Recent games, opponent history, third downs, injuries, comparisons, the exact plays — you decide.
How has Dalton Kincaid done against NE?71 yards per game2 games vs NEExplore this question

Projection context: Dalton Kincaid, 48.9 receiving yards

StatIQ projects Dalton Kincaid for 48.9 receiving yards against NE in Week 4. It’s the model’s single-number projection — not a range or a guaranteed outcome — and the game log above is the actual history behind it, so you can judge the number yourself.

What we’re seeing, as supporting evidence rather than the reason the model landed on this number: Dalton Kincaid has averaged 62.2 yards over his last 5 games, 87.7 yards per game this season (2026), and 71 yards across 2 games against NE. That’s the recent record to weigh the projection against — the model is not recomputed from these averages.

Across 482 completed receiving yards projections, StatIQ has landed within 22.4 yards of the actual result on average — the track record behind this number.

See Dalton Kincaid’s last 5 games in full
StatIQ’s Receiving Yards track record
22.4yards
average projection miss
25 within
482 completed receiving yards projections across all players
See the 2026 forward test
This matchup
Opponent
NE
Kickoff
Sun, Oct 4, 1:00 PM ET
Status
No injury designation — board data as of Oct 2, 2:13 AM
Recent form
62.2 yards over the last 5
Common questions
What is StatIQ's receiving yards projection for Dalton Kincaid vs NE?

StatIQ projects Dalton Kincaid for 48.9 yards receiving yards against NE in Week 4. It is the model's single-number projection — not a range or a guaranteed outcome — with the full game log on the page so you can weigh it yourself.

How has Dalton Kincaid performed in receiving yards recently?

Dalton Kincaid has averaged 62.2 yards over his last 5 games, 87.7 yards per game this season (2026), and 71 yards across 2 games against NE. That is context to weigh the projection against — the model is not recomputed from these averages.

How accurate are StatIQ's receiving yards projections?

Across 482 completed receiving yards projections, StatIQ has landed within 22.4 yards of the actual result on average — the track record behind this number.

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