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Drake Maye Projections

NE · QB · #10
No injury designation — board data as of Oct 2, 2:13 AM
vs BUF
Sun, Oct 4, 1:00 PM ET · Week 4
Compare
PASS YDSPASS TD
219.3passing yards projected vs BUF
Season average 195 · Last five 206.4
Updated Oct 1
Typically within 62.8 yards of the result
Recent passing yards
061123184246178SEA208PIT199JAXStatIQ projection 219.3
Tap a bar — or a row below — to link a number to its game.
DateOpponentPASS YDS
Sep 27, 2026@ @ JAX199
Sep 20, 2026vs vs PIT208
Sep 10, 2026@ @ SEA178
Splits are what he has actually done. The projection is pinned — it does not change when you switch splits.
Dig deeper into Drake Maye
Recent games, opponent history, third downs, injuries, comparisons, the exact plays — you decide.
How has Drake Maye done against BUF?214 yards per game2 games vs BUFExplore this question

Projection context: Drake Maye, 219.3 passing yards

StatIQ projects Drake Maye for 219.3 passing yards against BUF in Week 4. It’s the model’s single-number projection — not a range or a guaranteed outcome — and the game log above is the actual history behind it, so you can judge the number yourself.

What we’re seeing, as supporting evidence rather than the reason the model landed on this number: Drake Maye has averaged 206.4 yards over his last 5 games, 195 yards per game this season (2026), and 214 yards across 2 games against BUF. That’s the recent record to weigh the projection against — the model is not recomputed from these averages.

Across 89 completed passing yards projections, StatIQ has landed within 62.8 yards of the actual result on average — the track record behind this number.

See Drake Maye’s last 5 games in full
StatIQ’s Passing Yards track record
62.8yards
average projection miss
45 within
89 completed passing yards projections across all players
See the 2026 forward test
This matchup
Opponent
BUF
Kickoff
Sun, Oct 4, 1:00 PM ET
Status
No injury designation — board data as of Oct 2, 2:13 AM
Recent form
206.4 yards over the last 5
Common questions
What is StatIQ's passing yards projection for Drake Maye vs BUF?

StatIQ projects Drake Maye for 219.3 yards passing yards against BUF in Week 4. It is the model's single-number projection — not a range or a guaranteed outcome — with the full game log on the page so you can weigh it yourself.

How has Drake Maye performed in passing yards recently?

Drake Maye has averaged 206.4 yards over his last 5 games, 195 yards per game this season (2026), and 214 yards across 2 games against BUF. That is context to weigh the projection against — the model is not recomputed from these averages.

How accurate are StatIQ's passing yards projections?

Across 89 completed passing yards projections, StatIQ has landed within 62.8 yards of the actual result on average — the track record behind this number.

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