StatIQNFL projections — with the receipts

Chase Brown Projections

CIN · RB · #30
No injury designation — board data as of Oct 2, 2:13 AM
vs JAX
Sun, Oct 4, 1:00 PM ET · Week 4
Compare
58.9rushing yards projected vs JAX
Season average 65.7 · Last five 74
Updated Oct 1
Typically within 23.9 yards of the result
Recent rushing yards
02245679056TB80HOU61PITStatIQ projection 58.9
Tap a bar — or a row below — to link a number to its game.
DateOpponentRUSH YDS
Sep 27, 2026@ @ PIT61
Sep 20, 2026@ @ HOU80
Sep 13, 2026vs vs TB56
Splits are what he has actually done. The projection is pinned — it does not change when you switch splits.
Dig deeper into Chase Brown
Recent games, opponent history, third downs, injuries, comparisons, the exact plays — you decide.
How has Chase Brown done against JAX?47 yards per game1 game vs JAXExplore this question

Projection context: Chase Brown, 58.9 rushing yards

StatIQ projects Chase Brown for 58.9 rushing yards against JAX in Week 4. It’s the model’s single-number projection — not a range or a guaranteed outcome — and the game log above is the actual history behind it, so you can judge the number yourself.

What we’re seeing, as supporting evidence rather than the reason the model landed on this number: Chase Brown has averaged 74 yards over his last 5 games, 65.7 yards per game this season (2026), and 47 yards across 1 game against JAX. That’s the recent record to weigh the projection against — the model is not recomputed from these averages.

Across 169 completed rushing yards projections, StatIQ has landed within 23.9 yards of the actual result on average — the track record behind this number.

See Chase Brown’s last 5 games in full
StatIQ’s Rushing Yards track record
23.9yards
average projection miss
25 within
169 completed rushing yards projections across all players
See the 2026 forward test
This matchup
Opponent
JAX
Kickoff
Sun, Oct 4, 1:00 PM ET
Status
No injury designation — board data as of Oct 2, 2:13 AM
Recent form
74 yards over the last 5
Common questions
What is StatIQ's rushing yards projection for Chase Brown vs JAX?

StatIQ projects Chase Brown for 58.9 yards rushing yards against JAX in Week 4. It is the model's single-number projection — not a range or a guaranteed outcome — with the full game log on the page so you can weigh it yourself.

How has Chase Brown performed in rushing yards recently?

Chase Brown has averaged 74 yards over his last 5 games, 65.7 yards per game this season (2026), and 47 yards across 1 game against JAX. That is context to weigh the projection against — the model is not recomputed from these averages.

How accurate are StatIQ's rushing yards projections?

Across 169 completed rushing yards projections, StatIQ has landed within 23.9 yards of the actual result on average — the track record behind this number.

The rest of CIN vs JAX
the whole game
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