StatIQNFL projections — with the receipts

Chase Brown Projections

CIN · RB · #30
No injury designation — board data as of Oct 2, 2:13 AM
vs JAX
Sun, Oct 4, 1:00 PM ET · Week 4
Compare
24.2receiving yards projected vs JAX
Season average 10.7 · Last five 18
Updated Oct 1
Typically within 22.4 yards of the result
Recent receiving yards
0714202722TB2HOU8PITStatIQ projection 24.2
Tap a bar — or a row below — to link a number to its game.
DateOpponentREC YDS
Sep 27, 2026@ @ PIT8
Sep 20, 2026@ @ HOU2
Sep 13, 2026vs vs TB22
Splits are what he has actually done. The projection is pinned — it does not change when you switch splits.
Dig deeper into Chase Brown
Recent games, opponent history, third downs, injuries, comparisons, the exact plays — you decide.
How has Chase Brown done against JAX?18 yards per game1 game vs JAXExplore this question

Projection context: Chase Brown, 24.2 receiving yards

StatIQ projects Chase Brown for 24.2 receiving yards against JAX in Week 4. It’s the model’s single-number projection — not a range or a guaranteed outcome — and the game log above is the actual history behind it, so you can judge the number yourself.

What we’re seeing, as supporting evidence rather than the reason the model landed on this number: Chase Brown has averaged 18 yards over his last 5 games, 10.7 yards per game this season (2026), and 18 yards across 1 game against JAX. That’s the recent record to weigh the projection against — the model is not recomputed from these averages.

Across 482 completed receiving yards projections, StatIQ has landed within 22.4 yards of the actual result on average — the track record behind this number.

See Chase Brown’s last 5 games in full
StatIQ’s Receiving Yards track record
22.4yards
average projection miss
25 within
482 completed receiving yards projections across all players
See the 2026 forward test
This matchup
Opponent
JAX
Kickoff
Sun, Oct 4, 1:00 PM ET
Status
No injury designation — board data as of Oct 2, 2:13 AM
Recent form
18 yards over the last 5
Common questions
What is StatIQ's receiving yards projection for Chase Brown vs JAX?

StatIQ projects Chase Brown for 24.2 yards receiving yards against JAX in Week 4. It is the model's single-number projection — not a range or a guaranteed outcome — with the full game log on the page so you can weigh it yourself.

How has Chase Brown performed in receiving yards recently?

Chase Brown has averaged 18 yards over his last 5 games, 10.7 yards per game this season (2026), and 18 yards across 1 game against JAX. That is context to weigh the projection against — the model is not recomputed from these averages.

How accurate are StatIQ's receiving yards projections?

Across 482 completed receiving yards projections, StatIQ has landed within 22.4 yards of the actual result on average — the track record behind this number.

The rest of CIN vs JAX
the whole game
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